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Model 1.2

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Fidelis Andria v Virtus Francavilla

Fidelis Andria
19:30Upcoming
Virtus Francavilla

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fidelis AndriaDrawVirtus Francavilla
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Fidelis Andria 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fidelis Andria are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fidelis Andria 43%, draw 29%, Virtus Francavilla 28%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Fidelis Andria v Virtus FrancavillaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Fidelis Andria win43%
Draw29%
Virtus Francavilla win28%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fidelis Andria

Virtus Francavilla

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone H

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone H

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fidelis andria winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Fidelis Andria a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Fidelis Andria v Virtus Francavilla1.29 – 0.99
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Fidelis Andria win43%––
Draw29%––
Virtus Francavilla win28%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Fidelis Andria or draw72%––
Fidelis Andria clean sheet38%––
Virtus Francavilla clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%
0123450 11.1 9.7 5.1 1 12.7 13.3 6.3 2.1 2 8.4 8.2 4.1 3 3.7 3.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Fidelis Andria down, Virtus Francavilla across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting1.90
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsFID 2–1 VIR · VIR 0–2 FID · FID 1–2 VIR · VIR 0–2 FID

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

FIDELIS ANDRIA

D1–1

VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA

W3–0