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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Italia Serie C › Team Altamura v Gubbio

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Team Altamura v Gubbio

Team Altamura
19:30Upcoming
Gubbio

Coppa Italia Serie C · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Team AltamuraDrawGubbio
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Team Altamura 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Team Altamura are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Team Altamura 39%, draw 32%, Gubbio 29%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Team Altamura v GubbioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Team Altamura win39%
Draw32%
Gubbio win29%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Team Altamura

Gubbio

4Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

Last match: 23 Oct · Serie C - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · team altamura winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Team Altamura a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Team Altamura v Gubbio1.07 – 0.88
Form · Coppa Italia Serie C this season · since 14 AugW1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 05:19
Our probability · Team Altamura win

Published at 38%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Team Altamura win39%––
Draw32%––
Gubbio win29%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Team Altamura or draw71%––
Team Altamura clean sheet42%––
Gubbio clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.8%
0123450 14.7 12.0 5.5 1 14.8 13.8 5.9 2 8.2 7.2 3.2 3 2.9 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Team Altamura down, Gubbio across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie C this season · since 14 Aug

TEAM ALTAMURA

WD2–1 · 2–2

GUBBIO

WW2–1 · 5–0