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Spezia v Livorno
SpeziaLivornoCoppa Italia Serie C · WED 28 OCT · Stadio Alberto Picco
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Spezia are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Spezia 70%, draw 18%, Livorno 12%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Spezia win70%Livorno win12%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 16
VenueStadio Alberto Picco
Match timeline
All events
SpeziaMINLivornoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Spezia
Livorno
Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone B
Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Spezia a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 71%, 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 70% | – | – |
| Draw | 18% | – | – |
| Livorno win | 12% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – | – |
| Spezia or draw | 88% | – | – |
| Spezia clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Livorno clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Coppa Italia Serie C this season · since 15 Aug
SPEZIA
LIVORNO