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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Italia Serie C › Savoia v Sorrento

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Savoia v Sorrento

Savoia
20:00Upcoming
Sorrento

Coppa Italia Serie C · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SavoiaDrawSorrento
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Savoia 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Savoia are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Savoia 42%, draw 28%, Sorrento 31%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Savoia v SorrentoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Savoia win42%
Draw28%
Sorrento win31%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Savoia

Sorrento

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · savoia winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Savoia a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Savoia v Sorrento1.36 – 1.14
Form · Coppa Italia Serie C this season · since 14 AugW2 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Savoia win42%––
Draw28%––
Sorrento win31%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Savoia or draw69%––
Savoia clean sheet32%––
Sorrento clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%
0123450 8.6 8.9 5.3 2.0 1 10.8 13.1 7.2 2.7 2 7.6 8.7 4.9 3 3.5 3.9 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Savoia down, Sorrento across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie C this season · since 14 Aug

SAVOIA

WW2–1 · 3–0

SORRENTO

DW0–0 · 1–0