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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Italia Primavera › Modena U19 v Sampdoria U19

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Modena U19 v Sampdoria U19

Modena U19
14:00Upcoming
Sampdoria U19

Coppa Italia Primavera · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Modena U19DrawSampdoria U19
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Modena U19 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Modena U19 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Modena U19 40%, draw 22%, Sampdoria U19 38%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Modena U19 v Sampdoria U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Modena U19 win40%
Draw22%
Sampdoria U19 win38%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Modena U19

Sampdoria U19

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · modena u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Modena U19 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Modena U19 v Sampdoria U191.90 – 1.87

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Modena U19 win40%––
Draw22%––
Sampdoria U19 win38%––
Over 2.5 goals72%––
Both teams to score71%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals52%––
Modena U19 or draw62%––
Modena U19 clean sheet16%––
Sampdoria U19 clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%
0123450 2.9 4.0 4.1 2.5 1 4.1 8.6 7.5 4.6 2.2 2 4.3 7.6 7.0 4.3 2.1 3 2.7 4.8 4.4 2.8 4 2.4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Modena U19 down, Sampdoria U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsMOD 4–4 SAM · MOD 1–0 SAM · SAM 5–1 MOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Primavera this season

MODENA U19

No matches in our record yet.

SAMPDORIA U19

No matches in our record yet.