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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Campionato Primavera - 2 › Virtus Entella U19 v Vicenza U19

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Virtus Entella U19 v Vicenza U19

Virtus Entella U19
1–1Full time
Vicenza U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44
Virtus Entella U19 1–1 Vicenza U19 VIRTUS ENTELLA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Virtus Entella U19 win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.887

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Virtus Entella U19 win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Virtus Entella U19 was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Virtus Entella U19 v Vicenza U19
  4. 32′Virtus Entella U19 score on 32′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–8
  5. 32′We published Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
  6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Virtus Entella U19 1–0 Vicenza U19
  7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Virtus Entella U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 33′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Virtus Entella U19 1–0 Vicenza U19
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Virtus Entella U19 1–0 Vicenza U19
  11. 54′Vicenza U19 find the net on 54′. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–42–22
  12. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Virtus Entella U19 1–1 Vicenza U19
  13. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Virtus Entella U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 36% now
  14. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Virtus Entella U19 win 36%)
  15. 55′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–42–22
  16. 58′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
  17. 59′A red card for Vicenza U19 on 58′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 33–46–21
  18. 59′🟥 RED CARD · 58' Vicenza U19
  19. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Virtus Entella U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  20. 66′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
  21. 72′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
  22. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Virtus Entella U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  23. 77′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
  24. 82′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
  25. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Virtus Entella U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  26. 86′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
  27. 92′We said Virtus Entella U19 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
  28. FTFULL TIME Virtus Entella U19 1–1 Vicenza U19
  29. FTVirtus Entella U19 1–1 Vicenza U19 · Virtus Entella U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Virtus Entella U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Virtus Entella U19 50%, draw 24%, Vicenza U19 26%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Virtus Entella U19 v Vicenza U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Virtus Entella U19 win50%
Draw24%
Vicenza U19 win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Virtus Entella U19

Vicenza U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vicenza U194+710
4Virtus Entella U194+37

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · virtus entella u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Virtus Entella U19 a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Virtus Entella U19 v Vicenza U191.77 – 1.23
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 SeptW2 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L0
Table places · points 7 v 104 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Virtus Entella U19 win50%––
Draw24%––
Vicenza U19 win26%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
Virtus Entella U19 or draw74%––
Virtus Entella U19 clean sheet30%––
Vicenza U19 clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 5.8 5.7 3.8 1 8.4 11.2 6.5 2.7 2 7.8 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 4.6 5.5 3.4 4 2.1 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Virtus Entella U19 down, Vicenza U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsVIC 2–1 VIR · VIR 1–1 VIC · VIR 1–1 VIC · VIC 1–0 VIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

VIRTUS ENTELLA U19

WLWD3–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 1–1

VICENZA U19

WDWW3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vicenza U194+710
2Sampdoria U194+68
3Renate U194+58
4Virtus Entella U194+37
5Brescia U194+17
6Mantova U194+36
7Cremonese U194+26
8Padova U194−26
9Udinese U194−46
10Modena U194+14
11Venezia U19404
12Cittadella U194−24
13Lecco U194−64
14Sudtirol U194−33
15Pro Vercelli U194−62
16Reggiana U194−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.