Venezia U19 v Modena U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Venezia U19DrawModena U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Modena U19 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Modena U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Venezia U19 33%, draw 24%, Modena U19 43%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Venezia U19 v Modena U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Venezia U19 win33%

Draw24%

Modena U19 win43%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Venezia U19

Modena U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Venezia U19	6	+2	10
13	Modena U19	6	−1	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · modena u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Modena U19 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Venezia U19 v Modena U19~~1.52 – 1.76

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 5~~5 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Venezia U19 win	33%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Modena U19 win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Venezia U19 or draw	57%	–	–
Venezia U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–
Modena U19 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.5 6.2 5.8 3.4 1 5.4 10.5 8.6 5.1 2.3 2 4.4 7.5 6.5 3.8 3 2.3 3.8 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Venezia U19 down, Modena U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Venezia U19 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Modena U19 away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Venezia U19, 1.76 for Modena U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MOD 4–2 VEN · VEN 1–2 MOD · VEN 1–2 MOD · MOD 2–2 VEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

VENEZIA U19

WLDLWW5–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

MODENA U19

WLDLLD4–0 · 2–4 · 4–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Renate U19	6	+7	14
2	Sampdoria U19	6	+10	12
3	Vicenza U19	6	+7	12
4	Cremonese U19	6	+5	12
5	Venezia U19	6	+2	10
6	Udinese U19	6	+1	9
7	Padova U19	6	−1	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	+2	8
9	Lecco U19	6	−4	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	−3	7
11	Brescia U19	6	−5	7
12	Mantova U19	6	−4	6
13	Modena U19	6	−1	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	−5	5
15	Sudtirol U19	6	−4	4
16	Reggiana U19	6	−7	2