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Sudtirol U19 v Virtus Entella U19

Sudtirol U19

1–1Full time

Virtus Entella U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08

Sudtirol U19 1–1 Virtus Entella U19 VIRTUS ENTELLA U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Virtus Entella U19 win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.768

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Virtus Entella U19 win at 40%.
1′KICK-OFF Sudtirol U19 v Virtus Entella U19
2′Much as we predicted: Virtus Entella U19 was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 32–28–40
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Sudtirol U19 0–1 Virtus Entella U19
41′33′ and it is 0–1: Virtus Entella U19 have scored. 0–1 · 7–20–73
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Virtus Entella U19 win: 40% at kick-off, 73% now
45′We published Virtus Entella U19 at 40%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 6–20–73
45′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 6–20–73
45′HALF-TIME Sudtirol U19 0–1 Virtus Entella U19
46′SECOND HALF Sudtirol U19 0–1 Virtus Entella U19
53′We published Virtus Entella U19 at 40%. Our model now makes it 76%. 0–1 · 5–19–76
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Sudtirol U19 1–1 Virtus Entella U19
FTFULL TIME Sudtirol U19 1–1 Virtus Entella U19
FTSudtirol U19 1–1 Virtus Entella U19 · Virtus Entella U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sudtirol U19 win32%

Draw29%

Virtus Entella U19 win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · virtus entella u19 winPublished 10 Oct 10:08

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Virtus Entella U19 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sudtirol U19 win	32%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Virtus Entella U19 win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 or draw	60%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 clean sheet	28%	–	–
Virtus Entella U19 clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 9.8 10.9 7.4 3.2 1 9.5 13.3 8.1 3.5 2 5.7 7.1 4.6 3 2.2 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sudtirol U19 down, Virtus Entella U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,338 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sudtirol U19 at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Virtus Entella U19 away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Sudtirol U19, 1.29 for Virtus Entella U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VIR 1–1 SUD · SUD 1–1 VIR · SUD 2–2 VIR · VIR 3–1 SUD

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 2

SUDTIROL U19

LWWLDD1–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 0–0

VIRTUS ENTELLA U19

WWDWLW2–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Perugia U19	3	+10	9
2	Catanzaro U19	3	+9	9
3	Avellino U19	3	+5	9
4	Bari U19	3	+5	7
5	Renate U19	3	+5	7
6	Vicenza U19	3	+5	7
7	Palermo U19	3	+3	7
8	Benevento U19	3	+6	6
9	Cremonese U19	3	+3	6
10	Virtus Entella U19	3	+3	6
11	Padova U19	3	+2	6
12	Mantova U19	3	+3	5
13	Sampdoria U19	3	+2	5
14	Modena U19	3	+2	4
15	Spezia U19	3	+2	4
16	Venezia U19	3	+1	4
17	Monopoli U19	3	+1	4
18	Brescia U19	3	0	4
19	Pescara U19	3	0	4
20	Latina U19	3	−1	3
21	Cittadella U19	3	−2	3
22	Pisa U19	3	−3	3
23	Udinese U19	3	−5	3
24	Ascoli U19	3	−1	2
25	Sudtirol U19	3	−3	2
26	Napoli U19	3	−3	1
27	Reggiana U19	3	−3	1
28	Pro Vercelli U19	3	−6	1
29	Lecco U19	3	−7	1
30	Frosinone U19	3	−10	0
31	Cosenza U19	3	−10	0
32	Salernitana U19	3	−13	0