Sudtirol U19 v Venezia U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Sudtirol U19 1–2 Venezia U19 SUDTIROL U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sudtirol U19 win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.798

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sudtirol U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sudtirol U19 45%, draw 27%, Venezia U19 28%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Sudtirol U19 v Venezia U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sudtirol U19 win45%

Draw27%

Venezia U19 win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sudtirol U19

Venezia U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Venezia U19	5	+1	7
15	Sudtirol U19	5	−3	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sudtirol u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Sudtirol U19 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sudtirol U19 v Venezia U19~~1.48 – 1.10

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D4 L1 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 7~~15 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sudtirol U19 win	45%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Venezia U19 win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 or draw	72%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 clean sheet	34%	–	–
Venezia U19 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.5 7.8 4.6 1 10.7 12.7 6.7 2.5 2 8.2 8.9 4.9 3 4.1 4.4 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sudtirol U19 down, Venezia U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,370 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sudtirol U19 at home: 0.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Venezia U19 away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Sudtirol U19, 1.10 for Venezia U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SUD 1–0 VEN · VEN 2–2 SUD · VEN 2–0 SUD · SUD 2–1 VEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

SUDTIROL U19

LDDDD0–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2

VENEZIA U19

WLDLW5–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sampdoria U19	5	+10	11
2	Vicenza U19	5	+7	11
3	Renate U19	5	+6	11
4	Cremonese U19	5	+4	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	+3	8
6	Venezia U19	5	+1	7
7	Cittadella U19	5	−1	7
8	Brescia U19	5	−3	7
9	Mantova U19	5	+2	6
10	Padova U19	5	−3	6
11	Udinese U19	5	−5	6
12	Pro Vercelli U19	5	−4	5
13	Lecco U19	5	−6	5
14	Modena U19	5	−1	4
15	Sudtirol U19	5	−3	4
16	Reggiana U19	5	−7	1