Sampdoria U19 v Sudtirol U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sampdoria U19DrawSudtirol U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Sampdoria U19 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sampdoria U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sampdoria U19 57%, draw 23%, Sudtirol U19 21%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Sampdoria U19 v Sudtirol U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Sampdoria U19 win57%

Draw23%

Sudtirol U19 win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

VenueCampo Sportivo Tre Campanili

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sampdoria U19

Sudtirol U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sampdoria U19	6	+10	12
15	Sudtirol U19	6	−4	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sampdoria u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Sampdoria U19 a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sampdoria U19 v Sudtirol U19~~1.98 – 1.11

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 4~~2 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sampdoria U19 win	57%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Sampdoria U19 or draw	79%	–	–
Sampdoria U19 clean sheet	34%	–	–
Sudtirol U19 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.3 4.7 2.9 1 8.6 10.4 5.5 2.1 2 8.9 9.6 5.3 3 5.8 6.3 3.5 4 3.0 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sampdoria U19 down, Sudtirol U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sampdoria U19 at home: 2.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sudtirol U19 away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.98 goals for Sampdoria U19, 1.11 for Sudtirol U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SUD 0–2 SAM · SAM 3–3 SUD · SAM 1–1 SUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

SAMPDORIA U19

DWDWWD0–0 · 3–1 · 4–4 · 4–0 · 5–1 · 2–2

SUDTIROL U19

LDDDDL0–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Renate U19	6	+7	14
2	Sampdoria U19	6	+10	12
3	Vicenza U19	6	+7	12
4	Cremonese U19	6	+5	12
5	Venezia U19	6	+2	10
6	Udinese U19	6	+1	9
7	Padova U19	6	−1	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	+2	8
9	Lecco U19	6	−4	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	−3	7
11	Brescia U19	6	−5	7
12	Mantova U19	6	−4	6
13	Modena U19	6	−1	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	−5	5
15	Sudtirol U19	6	−4	4
16	Reggiana U19	6	−7	2