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Salernitana U19 v Benevento U19

Salernitana U19

0–3Full time

Benevento U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46

Salernitana U19 0–3 Benevento U19 BENEVENTO U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Benevento U19 win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.307

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Benevento U19 win at 55%.
1′Much as we predicted: Benevento U19 was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 23–21–56
1′KICK-OFF Salernitana U19 v Benevento U19
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Salernitana U19 0–1 Benevento U19
23′Benevento U19 find the net on 21′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–15–77
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Benevento U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Salernitana U19 0–2 Benevento U19
38′A goal for Benevento U19 on 27′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–93
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Benevento U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 93% now
45′HALF-TIME Salernitana U19 0–2 Benevento U19
46′SECOND HALF Salernitana U19 0–2 Benevento U19
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Salernitana U19 0–3 Benevento U19
FTFULL TIME Salernitana U19 0–3 Benevento U19
FTSalernitana U19 0–3 Benevento U19 · Benevento U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Salernitana U19 win23%

Draw22%

Benevento U19 win55%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · benevento u19 winPublished 10 Oct 11:13

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Benevento U19 a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Salernitana U19 win	23%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Benevento U19 win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Salernitana U19 or draw	45%	–	–
Salernitana U19 clean sheet	14%	–	–
Benevento U19 clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.4 7.1 7.6 5.2 2.7 1 4.3 9.8 9.3 6.3 3.3 2 3.0 5.9 5.8 4.0 2.1 3 2.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Salernitana U19 down, Benevento U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,338 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Salernitana U19 at home: 0.83 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Benevento U19 away: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Salernitana U19, 2.06 for Benevento U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BEN 3–0 SAL · SAL 0–1 BEN · BEN 1–2 SAL · SAL 1–0 BEN

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 2

SALERNITANA U19

DLWLLL2–2 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 0–6

BENEVENTO U19

WLWWLW1–0 · 2–5 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Perugia U19	3	+10	9
2	Catanzaro U19	3	+9	9
3	Avellino U19	3	+5	9
4	Bari U19	3	+5	7
5	Renate U19	3	+5	7
6	Vicenza U19	3	+5	7
7	Palermo U19	3	+3	7
8	Benevento U19	3	+6	6
9	Cremonese U19	3	+3	6
10	Virtus Entella U19	3	+3	6
11	Padova U19	3	+2	6
12	Mantova U19	3	+3	5
13	Sampdoria U19	3	+2	5
14	Modena U19	3	+2	4
15	Spezia U19	3	+2	4
16	Venezia U19	3	+1	4
17	Monopoli U19	3	+1	4
18	Brescia U19	3	0	4
19	Pescara U19	3	0	4
20	Latina U19	3	−1	3
21	Cittadella U19	3	−2	3
22	Pisa U19	3	−3	3
23	Udinese U19	3	−5	3
24	Ascoli U19	3	−1	2
25	Sudtirol U19	3	−3	2
26	Napoli U19	3	−3	1
27	Reggiana U19	3	−3	1
28	Pro Vercelli U19	3	−6	1
29	Lecco U19	3	−7	1
30	Frosinone U19	3	−10	0
31	Cosenza U19	3	−10	0
32	Salernitana U19	3	−13	0