Renate U19 v Padova U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Renate U19 win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Renate U19 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Renate U19 v Padova U19
4. 23′Renate U19 score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Renate U19 1–0 Padova U19
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Renate U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 77% now
7. 24′We said Renate U19 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–6
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
9. 45′HALF-TIME Renate U19 1–0 Padova U19
10. 46′We said Renate U19 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Renate U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
12. 46′SECOND HALF Renate U19 1–0 Padova U19
13. 52′Renate U19 score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–16–4
14. 52′We said Renate U19 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–16–4
15. 67′We said Renate U19 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
16. 77′Padova U19 find the net on 77′. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–72–10
17. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Renate U19 1–1 Padova U19
18. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Renate U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 17% now
19. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Renate U19 win 17%)
20. 78′We said Renate U19 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–1 · 16–74–10
21. 78′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 16–74–10
22. 80′We said Renate U19 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–8
23. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Renate U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
24. 84′We said Renate U19 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
25. 91′We said Renate U19 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
26. 92′A goal for Renate U19 on 90′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
27. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Renate U19 2–1 Padova U19
28. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Renate U19 win: 50% at kick-off, 98% now
29. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Renate U19 win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
30. 93′We said Renate U19 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–1 · 98–2–0
31. 93′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 98–2–0
32. FTFULL TIME Renate U19 2–1 Padova U19
33. FTRenate U19 2–1 Padova U19 · Renate U19 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.