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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Campionato Primavera - 2 › Reggiana U19 v Pro Vercelli U19

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Reggiana U19 v Pro Vercelli U19

Reggiana U19
1–3Full time
Pro Vercelli U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Reggiana U19 1–3 Pro Vercelli U19 REGGIANA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Reggiana U19 win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.768

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Reggiana U19 win at 45%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Reggiana U19 was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Reggiana U19 v Pro Vercelli U19
  4. 13′A goal for Pro Vercelli U19 on 12′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–23–57
  5. 13′We said Reggiana U19 at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–57
  6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Reggiana U19 0–1 Pro Vercelli U19
  7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Reggiana U19 win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Pro Vercelli U19 win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Reggiana U19 win 21%)
  9. 18′We said Reggiana U19 at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–58
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 16–24–60
  11. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Reggiana U19 win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
  12. 37′We said Reggiana U19 at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
  13. 43′Pro Vercelli U19 score on 42′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–87
  14. 43′We said Reggiana U19 at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–9–87
  15. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Reggiana U19 0–2 Pro Vercelli U19
  16. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Reggiana U19 win: 45% at kick-off, 3% now
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Reggiana U19 0–2 Pro Vercelli U19
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Reggiana U19 0–2 Pro Vercelli U19
  19. 55′Pro Vercelli U19 score on 42′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  20. 55′We said Reggiana U19 at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  21. 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–2 · 2–7–92
  22. 73′Reggiana U19 find the net on 72′. 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–79
  23. 73′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 3–18–79
  24. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Reggiana U19 1–2 Pro Vercelli U19
  25. 93′A goal for Pro Vercelli U19 on 90′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  26. 93′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  27. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Reggiana U19 1–3 Pro Vercelli U19
  28. FTFULL TIME Reggiana U19 1–3 Pro Vercelli U19
  29. FTReggiana U19 1–3 Pro Vercelli U19 · Reggiana U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Reggiana U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Reggiana U19 45%, draw 26%, Pro Vercelli U19 29%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Reggiana U19 v Pro Vercelli U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Reggiana U19 win45%
Draw26%
Pro Vercelli U19 win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Reggiana U19

Pro Vercelli U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Pro Vercelli U194−62
16Reggiana U194−51

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · reggiana u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Reggiana U19 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Reggiana U19 v Pro Vercelli U191.59 – 1.23
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 SeptW0 D1 L3 · W0 D2 L2
Table places · points 1 v 216 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Reggiana U19 win45%––
Draw26%––
Pro Vercelli U19 win29%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
Reggiana U19 or draw71%––
Reggiana U19 clean sheet30%––
Pro Vercelli U19 clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 6.8 6.9 4.6 1 8.9 12.0 7.0 2.9 2 7.5 9.0 5.5 2.3 3 4.0 4.8 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Reggiana U19 down, Pro Vercelli U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsREG 2–0 PRO · PRO 2–1 REG · PRO 1–1 REG · REG 2–5 PRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

REGGIANA U19

LLDL1–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

PRO VERCELLI U19

LDLD0–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vicenza U194+710
2Sampdoria U194+68
3Renate U194+58
4Virtus Entella U194+37
5Brescia U194+17
6Mantova U194+36
7Cremonese U194+26
8Padova U194−26
9Udinese U194−46
10Modena U194+14
11Venezia U19404
12Cittadella U194−24
13Lecco U194−64
14Sudtirol U194−33
15Pro Vercelli U194−62
16Reggiana U194−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.