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Pro Vercelli U19 v Renate U19
Pro Vercelli U19Renate U19Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Pro Vercelli U19 win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Pro Vercelli U19 was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–29–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Pro Vercelli U19 v Renate U19
- 20′Renate U19 score on 20′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 20′We said Pro Vercelli U19 at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Pro Vercelli U19 0–1 Renate U19
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Pro Vercelli U19 win: 37% at kick-off, 13% now
- 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Renate U19 win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Pro Vercelli U19 win 35%)
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 11–22–67
- 40′We said Pro Vercelli U19 at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
- 45′HALF-TIME Pro Vercelli U19 0–1 Renate U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Pro Vercelli U19 0–1 Renate U19
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Pro Vercelli U19 win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 62′We said Pro Vercelli U19 at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
- 66′Renate U19 find the net on 66′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Pro Vercelli U19 0–2 Renate U19
- 78′A goal for Pro Vercelli U19 on 78′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–87
- 78′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 1–12–87
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Pro Vercelli U19 1–2 Renate U19
- FTFULL TIME Pro Vercelli U19 1–2 Renate U19
- FTPro Vercelli U19 1–2 Renate U19 · Pro Vercelli U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Pro Vercelli U19 just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Pro Vercelli U19 37%, draw 28%, Renate U19 35%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Pro Vercelli U19 win37%Renate U19 win35%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
Pro Vercelli U19MINRenate U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pro Vercelli U19
Renate U19
Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Renate U19 | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 5 | −4 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pro Vercelli U19 a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Vercelli U19 win | 37% | 32% | +5 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | +2 |
| Renate U19 win | 35% | 42% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 54% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 58% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 77% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 33% | −9 |
| Pro Vercelli U19 or draw | 65% | 58% | +7 |
| Pro Vercelli U19 clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Renate U19 clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept
PRO VERCELLI U19
RENATE U19
The table
2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sampdoria U19 | 5 | +10 | 11 |
| 2 |  Vicenza U19 | 5 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Renate U19 | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Cremonese U19 | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Virtus Entella U19 | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Venezia U19 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Cittadella U19 | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Brescia U19 | 5 | −3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mantova U19 | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Padova U19 | 5 | −3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Udinese U19 | 5 | −5 | 6 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 5 | −4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lecco U19 | 5 | −6 | 5 |
| 14 |  Modena U19 | 5 | −1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Sudtirol U19 | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Reggiana U19 | 5 | −7 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.