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Pro Vercelli U19 v Mantova U19

Pro Vercelli U19
2–2Full time
Mantova U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30
Pro Vercelli U19 2–2 Mantova U19 MANTOVA U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mantova U19 win41%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.804
The market’s Brier score0.838

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mantova U19 win at 41%.
  2. 3′Little has changed for our model: Mantova U19 41% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 32–27–42
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Pro Vercelli U19 v Mantova U19
  4. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Pro Vercelli U19 0–1 Mantova U19
  5. 25′11′ and it is 0–1: Mantova U19 have scored. 0–1 · 10–20–70
  6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Mantova U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 70% now
  7. 42′⚽ GOAL · 11' Pro Vercelli U19 1–1 Mantova U19
  8. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Pro Vercelli U19 1–1 Mantova U19
  9. 45′Pro Vercelli U19 find the net on 42′. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–40–33
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Mantova U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 33% now
  11. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Mantova U19 win 33%)
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Pro Vercelli U19 1–1 Mantova U19
  13. 49′SECOND HALF Pro Vercelli U19 1–1 Mantova U19
  14. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Pro Vercelli U19 1–2 Mantova U19
  15. 56′A goal for Mantova U19 on 53′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Mantova U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 76% now
  17. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Mantova U19 win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
  18. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Pro Vercelli U19 2–2 Mantova U19
  19. FTFULL TIME Pro Vercelli U19 2–2 Mantova U19
  20. FTPro Vercelli U19 2–2 Mantova U19 · Mantova U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Pro Vercelli U19 win32%
Draw27%
Mantova U19 win41%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mantova u19 winPublished 10 Oct 14:16
41% The market28%
Us41%
Market28%

We make Mantova U19 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
20%25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 11:19
Our probability · mantova u19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 28% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pro Vercelli U19 win32%46%−14
Draw27%26%+1
Mantova U19 win41%28%+13
Over 2.5 goals49%56%−7
Both teams to score53%58%−5
Over 1.5 goals74%75%−1
Over 3.5 goals27%36%−9
Pro Vercelli U19 or draw59%72%−13
Pro Vercelli U19 clean sheet25%––
Mantova U19 clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 8.2 9.7 7.2 3.5 1 8.2 12.6 8.4 4.1 2 5.3 7.2 5.1 2.4 3 2.2 3.0 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pro Vercelli U19 down, Mantova U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 2

PRO VERCELLI U19

DLDLDL2–2 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 0–4 · 0–0 · 0–2

MANTOVA U19

DDW0–0 · 0–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Perugia U193+109
2Catanzaro U193+99
3Avellino U193+59
4Bari U193+57
5Renate U193+57
6Vicenza U193+57
7Palermo U193+37
8Benevento U193+66
9Cremonese U193+36
10Virtus Entella U193+36
11Padova U193+26
12Mantova U193+35
13Sampdoria U193+25
14Modena U193+24
15Spezia U193+24
16Venezia U193+14
17Monopoli U193+14
18Brescia U19304
19Pescara U19304
20Latina U193−13
21Cittadella U193−23
22Pisa U193−33
23Udinese U193−53
24Ascoli U193−12
25Sudtirol U193−32
26Napoli U193−31
27Reggiana U193−31
28Pro Vercelli U193−61
29Lecco U193−71
30Frosinone U193−100
31Cosenza U193−100
32Salernitana U193−130

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.