Pisa U19 v Bari U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Pisa U19DrawBari U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Pisa U19 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pisa U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pisa U19 50%, draw 24%, Bari U19 26%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Pisa U19 v Bari U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Pisa U19 win50%

Draw24%

Bari U19 win26%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pisa U19

Bari U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Bari U19	6	+4	9
11	Pisa U19	6	−2	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pisa u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Pisa U19 a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pisa U19 v Bari U19~~1.79 – 1.22

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 9~~11 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pisa U19 win	50%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bari U19 win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Pisa U19 or draw	74%	–	–
Pisa U19 clean sheet	30%	–	–
Bari U19 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.8 5.6 3.7 1 8.4 11.2 6.4 2.6 2 7.9 9.4 5.7 2.3 3 4.7 5.6 3.4 4 2.2 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pisa U19 down, Bari U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pisa U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bari U19 away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Pisa U19, 1.22 for Bari U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~PIS 2–1 BAR · BAR 1–1 PIS · PIS 2–1 BAR · BAR 0–0 PIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 4 Sept

PISA U19

LWLLWL2–3 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–2

BARI U19

WWDDDL4–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Catanzaro U19	6	+13	18
2	Perugia U19	6	+15	15
3	Palermo U19	6	+5	14
4	Benevento U19	6	+12	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	+5	11
6	Pescara U19	6	+4	11
7	Bari U19	6	+4	9
8	Avellino U19	6	0	9
9	Latina U19	6	+3	8
10	Napoli U19	6	0	8
11	Pisa U19	6	−2	6
12	Spezia U19	6	−6	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	−14	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	−9	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	−13	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	−17	1