Palermo U19 v Catanzaro U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Palermo U19DrawCatanzaro U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Catanzaro U19 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Catanzaro U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Palermo U19 31%, draw 27%, Catanzaro U19 42%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Palermo U19 v Catanzaro U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Palermo U19 win31%

Draw27%

Catanzaro U19 win42%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Palermo U19

Catanzaro U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · catanzaro u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Catanzaro U19 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Palermo U19 v Catanzaro U19~~1.17 – 1.41

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 18~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Palermo U19 win	31%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Catanzaro U19 win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Palermo U19 or draw	58%	–	–
Palermo U19 clean sheet	25%	–	–
Catanzaro U19 clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.5 10.1 7.5 3.6 1 8.3 12.9 8.6 4.1 2 5.2 7.1 5.0 2.4 3 2.1 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Palermo U19 down, Catanzaro U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Palermo U19 at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Catanzaro U19 away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Palermo U19, 1.41 for Catanzaro U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~PAL 1–1 CAT · CAT 1–1 PAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

PALERMO U19

WWDDWW3–1 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

CATANZARO U19

WWWWWW2–0 · 3–2 · 6–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Catanzaro U19	6	+13	18
2	Perugia U19	6	+15	15
3	Palermo U19	6	+5	14
4	Benevento U19	6	+12	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	+5	11
6	Pescara U19	6	+4	11
7	Bari U19	6	+4	9
8	Avellino U19	6	0	9
9	Latina U19	6	+3	8
10	Napoli U19	6	0	8
11	Pisa U19	6	−2	6
12	Spezia U19	6	−6	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	−14	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	−9	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	−13	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	−17	1