Monopoli U19 v Napoli U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Monopoli U19DrawNapoli U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Napoli U19 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Napoli U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Monopoli U19 27%, draw 25%, Napoli U19 48%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Monopoli U19 v Napoli U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Monopoli U19 win27%

Draw25%

Napoli U19 win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Monopoli U19

Napoli U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Monopoli U19	6	+5	11
10	Napoli U19	6	0	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · napoli u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Napoli U19 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Monopoli U19 v Napoli U19~~1.19 – 1.67

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 8~~5 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Monopoli U19 win	27%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Napoli U19 win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Monopoli U19 or draw	52%	–	–
Monopoli U19 clean sheet	20%	–	–
Napoli U19 clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.7 9.1 8.0 4.5 1 6.4 11.7 9.1 5.1 2.2 2 4.1 6.6 5.4 3.0 3 2.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Monopoli U19 down, Napoli U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Monopoli U19 at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Napoli U19 away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Monopoli U19, 1.67 for Napoli U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~NAP 1–0 MON · MON 1–2 NAP · MON 0–2 NAP · NAP 2–1 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

MONOPOLI U19

WLDWDW4–0 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 2–0

NAPOLI U19

LLDWDW1–3 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Catanzaro U19	6	+13	18
2	Perugia U19	6	+15	15
3	Palermo U19	6	+5	14
4	Benevento U19	6	+12	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	+5	11
6	Pescara U19	6	+4	11
7	Bari U19	6	+4	9
8	Avellino U19	6	0	9
9	Latina U19	6	+3	8
10	Napoli U19	6	0	8
11	Pisa U19	6	−2	6
12	Spezia U19	6	−6	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	−14	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	−9	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	−13	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	−17	1