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Monopoli U19 v Benevento U19
Monopoli U19
Benevento U19Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Benevento U19 win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Benevento U19 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 33–25–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Monopoli U19 v Benevento U19
- 10′Benevento U19 find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–18–67
- 10′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 14–18–67
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Monopoli U19 0–1 Benevento U19
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
- 29′A goal for Monopoli U19 on 29′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–31–38
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Monopoli U19 1–1 Benevento U19
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 38% now
- 45′Benevento U19 score on 44′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–20–71
- 45′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–2 · 9–20–71
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Monopoli U19 1–2 Benevento U19
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 71% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Monopoli U19 1–2 Benevento U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Monopoli U19 1–2 Benevento U19
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 58′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–2 · 6–20–75
- 60′Benevento U19 find the net on 60′. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
- 60′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
- 60′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 1–4–95
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Monopoli U19 1–3 Benevento U19
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 95% now
- 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Benevento U19
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 76% now
- 69′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 77′We published Benevento U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 1–13–85
- 78′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–2 · 1–13–86
- 78′Monopoli U19 find the net on 78′. 2–2. 2–2 · 14–70–16
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Monopoli U19 2–2 Benevento U19
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Benevento U19 win 16%)
- 79′We said Benevento U19 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 13–72–15
- 81′Monopoli U19 find the net on 78′. 2–2. 2–2 · 11–76–13
- 81′We said Benevento U19 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 11–76–13
- 82′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 10–78–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Benevento U19 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
- FTFULL TIME Monopoli U19 2–2 Benevento U19
- FTMonopoli U19 2–2 Benevento U19 · Benevento U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBenevento U19 are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Monopoli U19 33%, draw 25%, Benevento U19 42%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Monopoli U19 win33%
Benevento U19 win42%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Monopoli U19MIN
Benevento U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Monopoli U19
Benevento U19
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Benevento U19 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monopoli U19 win | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Benevento U19 win | 42% | 38% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 57% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 60% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 37% | −1 |
| Monopoli U19 or draw | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Monopoli U19 clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Benevento U19 clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept
MONOPOLI U19
BENEVENTO U19
The table
2026/27 · group 2| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 3 | Benevento U19 | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 4 | Avellino U19 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Bari U19 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 | Palermo U19 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Pescara U19 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Spezia U19 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Latina U19 | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 11 | Napoli U19 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 12 | Pisa U19 | 4 | −4 | 3 |
| 13 | Ascoli U19 | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 4 | −10 | 1 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 4 | −12 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 4 | −16 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Catanzaro U19
Perugia U19
Avellino U19
Bari U19
Palermo U19
Pescara U19
Spezia U19
Latina U19
Napoli U19
Pisa U19
Ascoli U19
Frosinone U19
Cosenza U19
Salernitana U19