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Modena U19 v Cremonese U19
Modena U19
Cremonese U19Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cremonese U19 win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Cremonese U19 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 36–22–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Modena U19 v Cremonese U19
- 45′HALF-TIME Modena U19 0–0 Cremonese U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Modena U19 0–0 Cremonese U19
- 50′Little has changed for our model: Cremonese U19 42% before kick-off, 34% now. 0–0 · 31–35–34
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 29–38–33
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Cremonese U19 win 33%)
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Cremonese U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 61′We said Cremonese U19 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 27–43–30
- 63′We said Cremonese U19 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 26–44–29
- 64′Cremonese U19 score on 63′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–20–74
- 64′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 6–20–74
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Modena U19 0–1 Cremonese U19
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Cremonese U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Cremonese U19 win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 65′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 74′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Cremonese U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 80′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
- 83′Cremonese U19 find the net on 82′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 83′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Modena U19 0–2 Cremonese U19
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Cremonese U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 99% now
- 85′We said Cremonese U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Modena U19 0–2 Cremonese U19
- FTModena U19 0–2 Cremonese U19 · Cremonese U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCremonese U19 are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Modena U19 36%, draw 22%, Cremonese U19 42%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Modena U19 win36%
Cremonese U19 win42%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Modena U19MIN
Cremonese U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Modena U19
Cremonese U19
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cremonese U19 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 28% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena U19 win | 36% | 48% | −12 |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | −2 |
| Cremonese U19 win | 42% | 28% | +14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 62% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 69% | 63% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 82% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 42% | +7 |
| Modena U19 or draw | 58% | 72% | −14 |
| Modena U19 clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Cremonese U19 clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept
MODENA U19
CREMONESE U19
The table
2026/27 · group 1| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza U19 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sampdoria U19 | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 3 | Renate U19 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 4 | Virtus Entella U19 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Brescia U19 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Mantova U19 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Cremonese U19 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 | Padova U19 | 4 | −2 | 6 |
| 9 | Udinese U19 | 4 | −4 | 6 |
| 10 | Modena U19 | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Venezia U19 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 13 | Lecco U19 | 4 | −6 | 4 |
| 14 | Sudtirol U19 | 4 | −3 | 3 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 4 | −6 | 2 |
| 16 | Reggiana U19 | 4 | −5 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Vicenza U19
Sampdoria U19
Renate U19
Virtus Entella U19
Brescia U19
Mantova U19
Padova U19
Udinese U19
Venezia U19
Cittadella U19
Lecco U19
Sudtirol U19
Pro Vercelli U19
Reggiana U19