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Home › Football › Campionato Primavera - 2 › Mantova U19 v Cittadella U19

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Mantova U19 v Cittadella U19

Mantova U19
1–2Full time
Cittadella U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 23:01
Mantova U19 1–2 Cittadella U19 MANTOVA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mantova U19 win57%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.987
The market’s Brier score0.569

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mantova U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mantova U19 57%, draw 22%, Cittadella U19 21%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Mantova U19 v Cittadella U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Mantova U19 win57%
Draw22%
Cittadella U19 win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mantova U19

Cittadella U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Mantova U194+36
12Cittadella U194−24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mantova u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
57% The market35%
Us57%
Market35%

We make Mantova U19 a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 22 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mantova U19 v Cittadella U192.05 – 1.17
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D3 L0 · W1 D1 L2
Table places · points 6 v 46 v 12
The market · Mantova U19 win35% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%40%50%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 13:26
Our probability · Mantova U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mantova U19 win57%35%+22
Draw22%27%−5
Cittadella U19 win21%39%−18
Over 2.5 goals62%51%+11
Both teams to score59%56%+3
Over 1.5 goals83%74%+9
Over 3.5 goals40%30%+10
Mantova U19 or draw79%61%+18
Mantova U19 clean sheet32%––
Cittadella U19 clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.9 4.4 2.9 1 7.9 10.0 5.5 2.2 2 8.3 9.4 5.5 2.2 3 5.6 6.4 3.7 4 3.0 3.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mantova U19 down, Cittadella U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

MANTOVA U19

DDWD0–0 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 2–2

CITTADELLA U19

LWLD2–5 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vicenza U194+710
2Sampdoria U194+68
3Renate U194+58
4Virtus Entella U194+37
5Brescia U194+17
6Mantova U194+36
7Cremonese U194+26
8Padova U194−26
9Udinese U194−46
10Modena U194+14
11Venezia U19404
12Cittadella U194−24
13Lecco U194−64
14Sudtirol U194−33
15Pro Vercelli U194−62
16Reggiana U194−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.