Latina U19 v Cosenza U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:41

Latina U19 3–3 Cosenza U19 LATINA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Latina U19 win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.088

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Latina U19 win at 65%.
1′Much as we predicted: Latina U19 was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–16
1′KICK-OFF Latina U19 v Cosenza U19
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
40′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–30–17
41′A goal for Cosenza U19 on 41′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 25–28–47
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Latina U19 0–1 Cosenza U19
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Cosenza U19 win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Latina U19 win 53%)
42′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–48
45′HALF-TIME Latina U19 0–1 Cosenza U19
46′Latina U19 score on 46′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 51–33–17
46′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 51–33–17
46′SECOND HALF Latina U19 0–1 Cosenza U19
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Latina U19 1–1 Cosenza U19
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 51% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Latina U19 win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Cosenza U19 win 49%)
49′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–35–16
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
57′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–40–16
57′Cosenza U19 find the net on 57′. 1–2. 1–2 · 16–29–56
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Latina U19 1–2 Cosenza U19
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 16% now
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Cosenza U19 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Latina U19 win 44%)
58′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–2 · 15–28–56
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
60′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–28–58
68′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
69′A goal for Cosenza U19 on 68′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–92
69′We said Latina U19 at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–7–92
69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Latina U19 1–3 Cosenza U19
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Latina U19 win: 65% at kick-off, 2% now
70′4 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 1–6–92
85′Latina U19 score on 85′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 1–11–88
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Latina U19 2–3 Cosenza U19
86′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–11–89
90′Latina U19 find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 7–90–3
90′6 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 7–90–3
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Latina U19 3–3 Cosenza U19
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Cosenza U19 win 92%)
FTFULL TIME Latina U19 3–3 Cosenza U19
FTLatina U19 3–3 Cosenza U19 · Latina U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Latina U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Latina U19 65%, draw 20%, Cosenza U19 16%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Latina U19 v Cosenza U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Latina U19 win65%

Draw20%

Cosenza U19 win16%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Latina U19

Cosenza U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Latina U19	5	+3	7
16	Cosenza U19	5	−13	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · latina u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Latina U19 a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Latina U19 v Cosenza U19~~2.29 – 1.02

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W0 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 7 v 0~~9 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Latina U19 win	65%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Cosenza U19 win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Latina U19 or draw	84%	–	–
Latina U19 clean sheet	37%	–	–
Cosenza U19 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.4%

0123450 4.5 3.5 2.0 1 8.1 9.0 4.4 2 9.4 9.3 4.8 3 7.1 7.0 3.6 4 4.1 4.1 2.1 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Latina U19 down, Cosenza U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,370 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Latina U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Cosenza U19 away: 0.83 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.29 goals for Latina U19, 1.02 for Cosenza U19. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

LATINA U19

LWLDW0–2 · 4–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 5–1

COSENZA U19

LLLLL0–4 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Catanzaro U19	5	+12	15
2	Perugia U19	5	+10	12
3	Palermo U19	5	+4	11
4	Benevento U19	5	+9	10
5	Bari U19	5	+5	9
6	Avellino U19	5	+3	9
7	Pescara U19	5	+3	8
8	Monopoli U19	5	+3	8
9	Latina U19	5	+3	7
10	Pisa U19	5	−1	6
11	Napoli U19	5	−2	5
12	Spezia U19	5	−4	4
13	Frosinone U19	5	−9	4
14	Ascoli U19	5	−7	2
15	Salernitana U19	5	−16	1
16	Cosenza U19	5	−13	0