Cremonese U19 v Virtus Entella U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Cremonese U19 2–1 Virtus Entella U19 CREMONESE U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cremonese U19 win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.334

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cremonese U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cremonese U19 53%, draw 23%, Virtus Entella U19 24%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Cremonese U19 v Virtus Entella U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Cremonese U19 win53%

Draw23%

Virtus Entella U19 win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cremonese U19

Virtus Entella U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Cremonese U19	5	+4	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	+3	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cremonese u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Cremonese U19 a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cremonese U19 v Virtus Entella U19~~1.91 – 1.21

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 8~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cremonese U19 win	53%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Virtus Entella U19 win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Cremonese U19 or draw	76%	–	–
Cremonese U19 clean sheet	31%	–	–
Virtus Entella U19 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.3 5.0 3.4 1 8.1 10.5 6.1 2.5 2 8.0 9.3 5.6 2.3 3 5.1 5.9 3.5 4 2.5 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cremonese U19 down, Virtus Entella U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,370 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cremonese U19 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Virtus Entella U19 away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Cremonese U19, 1.21 for Virtus Entella U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VIR 0–1 CRE · CRE 0–3 VIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

CREMONESE U19

WWLLW4–0 · 3–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 2–0

VIRTUS ENTELLA U19

WLWDD3–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sampdoria U19	5	+10	11
2	Vicenza U19	5	+7	11
3	Renate U19	5	+6	11
4	Cremonese U19	5	+4	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	+3	8
6	Venezia U19	5	+1	7
7	Cittadella U19	5	−1	7
8	Brescia U19	5	−3	7
9	Mantova U19	5	+2	6
10	Padova U19	5	−3	6
11	Udinese U19	5	−5	6
12	Pro Vercelli U19	5	−4	5
13	Lecco U19	5	−6	5
14	Modena U19	5	−1	4
15	Sudtirol U19	5	−3	4
16	Reggiana U19	5	−7	1