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Cosenza U19 v Catanzaro U19

Cosenza U19

0–2Full time

Catanzaro U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Cosenza U19 0–2 Catanzaro U19 CATANZARO U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Catanzaro U19 win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.288

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Catanzaro U19 win at 56%.
4′Little has changed for our model: Catanzaro U19 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 21–23–56
4′KICK-OFF Cosenza U19 v Catanzaro U19
33′⚽ GOAL · 30' Cosenza U19 0–1 Catanzaro U19
35′PENALTY MISSED · 35' Catanzaro U19
43′⚽ GOAL · 30' Cosenza U19 0–1 Catanzaro U19
43′PENALTY MISSED · 35' Catanzaro U19
45′A goal for Catanzaro U19 on 35′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–15–80
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Catanzaro U19 win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
45′HALF-TIME Cosenza U19 0–1 Catanzaro U19
49′SECOND HALF Cosenza U19 0–1 Catanzaro U19
52′We said Catanzaro U19 at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 0–1 · 4–15–81
73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Cosenza U19 0–2 Catanzaro U19
FTFULL TIME Cosenza U19 0–2 Catanzaro U19
FTCosenza U19 0–2 Catanzaro U19 · Catanzaro U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Cosenza U19 win21%

Draw23%

Catanzaro U19 win56%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · catanzaro u19 winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Catanzaro U19 a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cosenza U19 win	21%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Catanzaro U19 win	56%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Cosenza U19 or draw	44%	–	–
Cosenza U19 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Catanzaro U19 clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.1 9.5 9.3 5.9 2.9 1 5.2 10.8 9.5 6.0 2.9 2 3.0 5.4 5.0 3.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cosenza U19 down, Catanzaro U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,338 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cosenza U19 at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Catanzaro U19 away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.05 goals for Cosenza U19, 1.90 for Catanzaro U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAT 3–1 COS · COS 1–0 CAT

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 2

COSENZA U19

DWDLLL2–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–5

CATANZARO U19

DWDWWW1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Perugia U19	3	+10	9
2	Catanzaro U19	3	+9	9
3	Avellino U19	3	+5	9
4	Bari U19	3	+5	7
5	Renate U19	3	+5	7
6	Vicenza U19	3	+5	7
7	Palermo U19	3	+3	7
8	Benevento U19	3	+6	6
9	Cremonese U19	3	+3	6
10	Virtus Entella U19	3	+3	6
11	Padova U19	3	+2	6
12	Mantova U19	3	+3	5
13	Sampdoria U19	3	+2	5
14	Modena U19	3	+2	4
15	Spezia U19	3	+2	4
16	Venezia U19	3	+1	4
17	Monopoli U19	3	+1	4
18	Brescia U19	3	0	4
19	Pescara U19	3	0	4
20	Latina U19	3	−1	3
21	Cittadella U19	3	−2	3
22	Pisa U19	3	−3	3
23	Udinese U19	3	−5	3
24	Ascoli U19	3	−1	2
25	Sudtirol U19	3	−3	2
26	Napoli U19	3	−3	1
27	Reggiana U19	3	−3	1
28	Pro Vercelli U19	3	−6	1
29	Lecco U19	3	−7	1
30	Frosinone U19	3	−10	0
31	Cosenza U19	3	−10	0
32	Salernitana U19	3	−13	0