Brescia U19 v Lecco U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Brescia U19 1–3 Lecco U19 LECCO U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lecco U19 win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.579

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Lecco U19 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Brescia U19 38%, draw 23%, Lecco U19 38%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Brescia U19 v Lecco U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Brescia U19 win38%

Draw23%

Lecco U19 win38%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brescia U19

Lecco U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Brescia U19	5	−3	7
13	Lecco U19	5	−6	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lecco u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Lecco U19 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brescia U19 v Lecco U19~~1.71 – 1.72

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 5~~8 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brescia U19 win	38%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Lecco U19 win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Brescia U19 or draw	62%	–	–
Brescia U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–
Lecco U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 3.9 5.2 4.8 2.8 1 5.2 9.9 8.0 4.6 2.0 2 4.8 8.0 6.7 3.9 3 2.8 4.6 3.9 2.2 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brescia U19 down, Lecco U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,370 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brescia U19 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Lecco U19 away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Brescia U19, 1.72 for Lecco U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BRE 0–1 LEC · LEC 2–1 BRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

BRESCIA U19

LWDWL1–3 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–5

LECCO U19

LDLWD0–4 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sampdoria U19	5	+10	11
2	Vicenza U19	5	+7	11
3	Renate U19	5	+6	11
4	Cremonese U19	5	+4	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	+3	8
6	Venezia U19	5	+1	7
7	Cittadella U19	5	−1	7
8	Brescia U19	5	−3	7
9	Mantova U19	5	+2	6
10	Padova U19	5	−3	6
11	Udinese U19	5	−5	6
12	Pro Vercelli U19	5	−4	5
13	Lecco U19	5	−6	5
14	Modena U19	5	−1	4
15	Sudtirol U19	5	−3	4
16	Reggiana U19	5	−7	1