Benevento U19 v Perugia U19 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Benevento U19DrawPerugia U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Perugia U19 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Perugia U19 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Benevento U19 37%, draw 25%, Perugia U19 38%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Benevento U19 v Perugia U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Benevento U19 win37%

Draw25%

Perugia U19 win38%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Benevento U19

Perugia U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Perugia U19	6	+15	15
4	Benevento U19	6	+12	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · perugia u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Perugia U19 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Benevento U19 v Perugia U19~~1.53 – 1.57

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 4 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 15~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Benevento U19 win	37%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Perugia U19 win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Benevento U19 or draw	62%	–	–
Benevento U19 clean sheet	21%	–	–
Perugia U19 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.3 6.6 5.6 2.9 1 6.5 11.2 8.3 4.3 2 5.3 8.1 6.2 3.3 3 2.7 4.1 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Benevento U19 down, Perugia U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,386 Campionato Primavera - 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.90 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Benevento U19 at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Perugia U19 away: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Benevento U19, 1.57 for Perugia U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.90

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BEN 2–2 PER · PER 2–1 BEN · PER 1–1 BEN · BEN 3–0 PER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 4 Sept

BENEVENTO U19

WLWWDW3–0 · 1–3 · 5–0 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 5–2

PERUGIA U19

WWWWLW3–2 · 3–0 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Catanzaro U19	6	+13	18
2	Perugia U19	6	+15	15
3	Palermo U19	6	+5	14
4	Benevento U19	6	+12	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	+5	11
6	Pescara U19	6	+4	11
7	Bari U19	6	+4	9
8	Avellino U19	6	0	9
9	Latina U19	6	+3	8
10	Napoli U19	6	0	8
11	Pisa U19	6	−2	6
12	Spezia U19	6	−6	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	−14	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	−9	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	−13	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	−17	1