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Benevento U19 v Avellino U19

Benevento U19
5–2Full time
Avellino U19

Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Benevento U19 5–2 Avellino U19 BENEVENTO U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Benevento U19 win42%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.513
The market’s Brier score0.374

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Benevento U19 win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Benevento U19 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Benevento U19 v Avellino U19
  4. 36′Benevento U19 score on 35′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–11
  5. 36′We said Benevento U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–11
  6. 36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Benevento U19 1–0 Avellino U19
  7. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
  8. 37′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
  9. 42′We said Benevento U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Benevento U19 1–0 Avellino U19
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Benevento U19 1–0 Avellino U19
  12. 50′Benevento U19 find the net on 49′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
  13. 50′We said Benevento U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–7–2
  14. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Benevento U19 2–0 Avellino U19
  15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Benevento U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
  16. 60′A goal for Benevento U19 on 60′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  17. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Benevento U19 3–0 Avellino U19
  18. 61′We said Benevento U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  19. 68′We said Benevento U19 at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 85′Benevento U19 score on 85′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Benevento U19 4–0 Avellino U19
  23. 87′Avellino U19 find the net on 87′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  24. 87′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  25. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Benevento U19 4–1 Avellino U19
  26. 88′GOAL DISALLOWED · 88' Avellino U19
  27. 91′Avellino U19 find the net on 90′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  28. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Benevento U19 4–1 Avellino U19
  29. 94′A goal for Avellino U19 on 90′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
  30. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Benevento U19 4–2 Avellino U19
  31. 95′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
  32. 95′Benevento U19 score on 90′ to make it 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  33. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Benevento U19 5–2 Avellino U19
  34. 96′7 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  35. FTFULL TIME Benevento U19 5–2 Avellino U19
  36. FTBenevento U19 5–2 Avellino U19 · Benevento U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Benevento U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Benevento U19 42%, draw 24%, Avellino U19 34%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Benevento U19 v Avellino U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Benevento U19 win42%
Draw24%
Avellino U19 win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Benevento U19

Avellino U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Benevento U195+910
6Avellino U195+39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · benevento u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
42% The market50%
Us42%
Market50%

We make Benevento U19 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Benevento U19 v Avellino U191.71 – 1.53
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 SeptW3 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L2
Table places · points 10 v 94 v 6
The market · Benevento U19 win50% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:51
Our probability · Benevento U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Benevento U19 win42%50%−8
Draw24%24%0
Avellino U19 win34%26%+8
Over 2.5 goals62%60%+2
Both teams to score64%60%+4
Over 1.5 goals83%80%+3
Over 3.5 goals41%39%+2
Benevento U19 or draw66%74%−8
Benevento U19 clean sheet22%––
Avellino U19 clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 4.7 5.6 4.6 2.4 1 6.3 10.6 7.6 3.9 2 5.8 8.5 6.4 3.3 3 3.3 4.9 3.7 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Benevento U19 down, Avellino U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsAVE 2–2 BEN · BEN 1–0 AVE · AVE 3–3 BEN · BEN 2–1 AVE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept

BENEVENTO U19

WLWWD3–0 · 1–3 · 5–0 · 3–0 · 2–2

AVELLINO U19

WWWLL3–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Primavera 2 U19 · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Catanzaro U195+1215
2Perugia U195+1012
3Palermo U195+411
4Benevento U195+910
5Bari U195+59
6Avellino U195+39
7Pescara U195+38
8Monopoli U195+38
9Latina U195+37
10Pisa U195−16
11Napoli U195−25
12Spezia U195−44
13Frosinone U195−94
14Ascoli U195−72
15Salernitana U195−161
16Cosenza U195−130

The competition's standings before kick-off.