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Bari U19 v Napoli U19
Bari U19Napoli U19Campionato Primavera - 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Napoli U19 win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Napoli U19 was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 31–26–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Bari U19 v Napoli U19
- 26′Napoli U19 find the net on 25′. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 26′We published Napoli U19 at 43%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' Bari U19 0–1 Napoli U19
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 70% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–71
- 39′A goal for Bari U19 on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–36–36
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Bari U19 1–1 Napoli U19
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Bari U19 1–1 Napoli U19
- 46′A goal for Bari U19 on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–39–34
- 46′Much as we predicted: Napoli U19 was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 34% now. 1–1 · 27–39–34
- 46′SECOND HALF Bari U19 1–1 Napoli U19
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Napoli U19 win 34%)
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 51′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 26–42–33
- 54′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 25–44–31
- 59′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–47–29
- 68′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 20–56–24
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 75′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
- 80′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 84′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
- 91′We said Napoli U19 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Napoli U19 win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Bari U19 1–1 Napoli U19
- FTBari U19 1–1 Napoli U19 · Napoli U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNapoli U19 are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bari U19 32%, draw 26%, Napoli U19 43%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Bari U19 win32%Napoli U19 win43%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Bari U19MINNapoli U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bari U19
Napoli U19
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2
Last match: 13 Oct · UEFA Youth League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bari U19 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 11 | Napoli U19 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Napoli U19 a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bari U19 win | 32% | 43% | −11 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Napoli U19 win | 43% | 31% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 34% | −3 |
| Bari U19 or draw | 57% | 69% | −12 |
| Bari U19 clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Napoli U19 clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campionato Primavera - 2 this season · since 5 Sept
BARI U19
NAPOLI U19
The table
2026/27 · group 2| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Catanzaro U19 | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 |  Perugia U19 | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 3 |  Benevento U19 | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 4 |  Avellino U19 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Bari U19 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 |  Palermo U19 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Pescara U19 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Monopoli U19 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Spezia U19 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Latina U19 | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 11 | Napoli U19 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Pisa U19 | 4 | −4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Ascoli U19 | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 14 |  Frosinone U19 | 4 | −10 | 1 |
| 15 |  Cosenza U19 | 4 | −12 | 0 |
| 16 |  Salernitana U19 | 4 | −16 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.