Avellino U19 v Catanzaro U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Avellino U19 win at 38%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Avellino U19 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–37
3. 2′KICK-OFF Avellino U19 v Catanzaro U19
4. 22′Catanzaro U19 score on 22′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–21–64
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Avellino U19 0–1 Catanzaro U19
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Avellino U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 15% now
7. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Catanzaro U19 win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Avellino U19 win 15%)
8. 23′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–21–64
9. 24′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–21–65
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 13–21–65
11. 32′Avellino U19 find the net on 32′. 1–1. 1–1 · 34–32–34
12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Avellino U19 1–1 Catanzaro U19
13. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Avellino U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 34% now
14. 39′Avellino U19 are down to ten from 39′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 33–35–32
15. 39′🟥 RED CARD · 39' Avellino U19
16. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Catanzaro U19 win 31%)
17. 45′HALF-TIME Avellino U19 1–1 Catanzaro U19
18. 46′SECOND HALF Avellino U19 1–1 Catanzaro U19
19. 52′Avellino U19 find the net on 32′. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–41–29
20. 52′Avellino U19 are down to ten from 39′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 30–41–29
21. 53′Little has changed for our model: Avellino U19 38% before kick-off, 29% now. 1–1 · 29–42–29
22. 53′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 29–42–29
23. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Avellino U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
24. 61′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–48–26
25. 65′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–24
26. 73′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–62–19
27. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Avellino U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
28. 79′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
29. 82′A goal for Catanzaro U19 on 82′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–10–89
30. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Avellino U19 1–2 Catanzaro U19
31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Avellino U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Catanzaro U19 win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
33. 83′We said Avellino U19 at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
34. 83′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–9–90
35. FTFULL TIME Avellino U19 1–2 Catanzaro U19
36. FTAvellino U19 1–2 Catanzaro U19 · Avellino U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.