Sassuolo U20 v Albinoleffe U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 16:32

Sassuolo U20 4–2 Albinoleffe U20 SASSUOLO U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sassuolo U20 win~~51%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.358

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.187

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 33 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sassuolo U20 win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: Sassuolo U20 was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–23–26
1′KICK-OFF Sassuolo U20 v Albinoleffe U20
19′A goal for Albinoleffe U20 on 19′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 24–24–52
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Sassuolo U20 0–1 Albinoleffe U20
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 24% now
19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Albinoleffe U20 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sassuolo U20 win 24%)
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 24% now
20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Albinoleffe U20 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sassuolo U20 win 24%)
21′We said Sassuolo U20 at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–25–52
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 24% now
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Albinoleffe U20 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sassuolo U20 win 24%)
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 23% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Albinoleffe U20 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sassuolo U20 win 23%)
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Sassuolo U20 1–1 Albinoleffe U20
23′22′ and it is 1–1: Sassuolo U20 have scored. 1–1 · 47–28–25
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 23% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Albinoleffe U20 win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sassuolo U20 win 23%)
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Sassuolo U20 2–1 Albinoleffe U20
31′Sassuolo U20 find the net on 30′. 2–1. 2–1 · 75–17–8
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
33′We published Sassuolo U20 at 51%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–17–8
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
37′A goal for Albinoleffe U20 on 37′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 44–32–24
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Sassuolo U20 2–2 Albinoleffe U20
40′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 43–33–24
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Sassuolo U20 win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
45′HALF-TIME Sassuolo U20 2–2 Albinoleffe U20
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Sassuolo U20 3–2 Albinoleffe U20
46′SECOND HALF Sassuolo U20 3–2 Albinoleffe U20
50′🟥 RED CARD · 50' Sassuolo U20
53′🟥 RED CARD · 50' R. Coman · Sassuolo U20
54′🟥 RED CARD · 50' R. Coman · Sassuolo U20
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Sassuolo U20 4–2 Albinoleffe U20
75′🟥 RED CARD · 75' Albinoleffe U20
FTFULL TIME Sassuolo U20 4–2 Albinoleffe U20
FTSassuolo U20 4–2 Albinoleffe U20 · Sassuolo U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 14:01 · locked at kick-off

Sassuolo U20 win51%

Draw23%

Albinoleffe U20 win26%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 14:00

Line-ups

Sassuolo U20

Albinoleffe U20

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sassuolo U20

Albinoleffe U20

23Days since last match24

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
18	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
19	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sassuolo U20

Formation not confirmed

– L. Nyarko

– A. Campani

– F. Cande

– G. Vezzosi

– F. Bolondi

– R. Coman

– D. Weiss

– A. Mussini

– S. Liberali

– G. Kulla

– G. Chiricallo

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · J. Baffoh

– · I. Cornescu

– · M. Mirri

– · A. Sibilano

– · S. Daldum

Albinoleffe U20

Formation not confirmed

– P. Carrara

– J. Brambilla

– M. Trapletti

– M. Botti

– S. Riboni

– F. Delcarro

– A. Colombi

– A. Scaldaferri

– D. Ceresoli

– N. Gamba

– C. Rinaldi

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · F. Esposti

– · A. Isgro

– · M. Duranti

– · M. Merla

– · D. Tironi

Our number · sassuolo u20 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 14:01 · locked at kick-off

51% The market65%

Us51%

~~Market~~65%

We make Sassuolo U20 a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sassuolo u20 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sassuolo U20 win	51%	65%	−14
Draw	23%	20%	+4
Albinoleffe U20 win	26%	16%	+10
Over 2.5 goals	59%	64%	−5
Both teams to score	59%	58%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	41%	−5
Sassuolo U20 or draw	74%	84%	−10
Sassuolo U20 clean sheet	30%	–	–
Albinoleffe U20 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.1 5.7 3.6 1 8.5 10.7 6.4 2.6 2 7.8 9.5 5.8 2.4 3 4.8 5.8 3.5 4 2.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sassuolo U20 down, Albinoleffe U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,765 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.9% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sassuolo U20 at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Albinoleffe U20 away: 2.00 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Sassuolo U20, 1.23 for Albinoleffe U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in Campionato Primavera - 1 since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

SASSUOLO U20

LDLLWL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 5–3 · 1–2

ALBINOLEFFE U20

LLLWD0–2 · 2–6 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
2	Parma U20	6	+6	12
3	Roma U20	6	+4	12
4	Bologna U20	6	+3	12
5	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
6	Genoa U20	6	+3	10
7	Lazio U20	6	+2	10
8	Cesena U20	6	+1	9
9	Lecce U20	6	+1	7
10	Hellas Verona U20	6	−1	7
11	Milan U20	6	−2	7
12	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
13	Como U20	6	0	6
14	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
15	Torino U20	6	−2	5
16	Monza U20	5	−2	4
17	Fiorentina U20	6	−2	4
18	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
19	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
20	Juventus U20	6	−5	3