Roma U20 v Genoa U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Roma U20 win at 56%.
2. 5′Much as we predicted: Roma U20 was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–24–22
3. 5′KICK-OFF Roma U20 v Genoa U20
4. 26′A goal for Genoa U20 on 26′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 24–26–50
5. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Roma U20 0–1 Genoa U20
6. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Roma U20 win: 56% at kick-off, 24% now
7. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Genoa U20 win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Roma U20 win 50%)
8. 27′We said Roma U20 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 23–26–51
10. 30′A. Fabbri scores for Genoa U20 on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–26–51
11. 39′We said Roma U20 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
12. 42′Genoa U20 score on 41′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 5–13–82
13. 42′We said Roma U20 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–13–82
14. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Roma U20 0–2 Genoa U20
15. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Roma U20 win: 56% at kick-off, 5% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Roma U20 0–2 Genoa U20
17. 46′We said Roma U20 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
18. 46′40′: V. Damiano on the scoresheet for Genoa U20, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–12–84
19. 46′SECOND HALF Roma U20 0–2 Genoa U20
20. 50′Roma U20 find the net on 49′. 1–2. 1–2 · 14–27–58
21. 50′We said Roma U20 at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–27–58
22. 50′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 14–27–58
23. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Roma U20 1–2 Genoa U20
24. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Roma U20 win: 56% at kick-off, 14% now
25. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Roma U20 win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
26. 86′A goal for Roma U20 on 86′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 9–85–5
27. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Roma U20 2–2 Genoa U20
28. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Genoa U20 win 91%)
29. 87′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 9–87–5
30. FTFULL TIME Roma U20 2–2 Genoa U20
31. FTRoma U20 2–2 Genoa U20 · Roma U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.