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Roma U20 v Empoli U20

Roma U20

1–1Full time

Empoli U20

Campionato Primavera - 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Roma U20 1–1 Empoli U20 ROMA U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Roma U20 win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.993

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Roma U20 win59%

Draw22%

Empoli U20 win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Roma U20

Formation not confirmed

– S. Bouaskar

– T. Marchetti

– S. Carlaccini

– F. Basile

– F. Panico

– A. Di Nunzio

– G. Bonifazi

– M. Camara

– P. Teixeira Falcetta

– F. Terlizzi

– L. Paratici

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · L. Kilvinger

– · R. Zinni

– · V. Maccaroni

– · A. Arena

– · M. Loreti

– · G. Arduini

– · G. Giammattei

– · M. Guaglianone

– · C. Cama

– · M. Romero

– · A. Vukoje

Empoli U20

Formation not confirmed

– R. Vettore

– D. Antonini

– N. Mazzi

– E. Perin

– A. Orlandi

– M. Mureddu

– S. Babalola

– M. Huqi

– R. Berizzi

– O. Blini

– T. Rugani

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · E. Giusti

– · F. Bruno

– · C. Covelli

– · D. Terrones

– · G. Pucci

– · D. Pisani

– · G. Lupoli

– · M. Silvestri

– · A. Fade

– · A. Orlandi

– · R. Valme

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Roma U20

Formation not confirmed

– S. Bouaskar

– T. Marchetti

– S. Carlaccini

– F. Basile

– F. Panico

– A. Di Nunzio

– G. Bonifazi

– M. Camara

– P. Teixeira Falcetta

– F. Terlizzi

– L. Paratici

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · L. Kilvinger

– · R. Zinni

– · V. Maccaroni

– · A. Arena

– · M. Loreti

– · G. Arduini

– · G. Giammattei

– · M. Guaglianone

– · C. Cama

– · M. Romero

– · A. Vukoje

Empoli U20

Formation not confirmed

– R. Vettore

– D. Antonini

– N. Mazzi

– E. Perin

– A. Orlandi

– M. Mureddu

– S. Babalola

– M. Huqi

– R. Berizzi

– O. Blini

– T. Rugani

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · E. Giusti

– · F. Bruno

– · C. Covelli

– · D. Terrones

– · G. Pucci

– · D. Pisani

– · G. Lupoli

– · M. Silvestri

– · A. Fade

– · A. Orlandi

– · R. Valme

Our number · roma u20 winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Roma U20 a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Roma U20 win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Empoli U20 win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Roma U20 or draw	82%	–	–
Roma U20 clean sheet	38%	–	–
Empoli U20 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.6%

0123450 5.9 5.3 2.6 1 10.6 10.4 5.0 2 10.2 9.8 4.7 3 6.6 6.3 3.0 4 3.2 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Roma U20 down, Empoli U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,757 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Roma U20 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Empoli U20 away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Roma U20, 0.96 for Empoli U20. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EMP 0–2 ROM · ROM 2–1 EMP

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

ROMA U20

LWWDDW1–2 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

EMPOLI U20

LWDDWW0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	5	+10	13
2	Parma U20	5	+6	11
3	Roma U20	5	+4	11
4	Empoli U20	5	+3	11
5	Lazio U20	5	+5	10
6	Bologna U20	5	0	9
7	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
9	Milan U20	5	0	7
10	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
11	Cesena U20	5	0	6
12	Como U20	5	0	5
13	Torino U20	5	−1	5
14	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
15	Monza U20	5	−2	4
16	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
17	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
19	Juventus U20	5	−3	3
20	Atalanta U20	5	−6	3