Monza U20 v Milan U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Monza U20DrawMilan U20

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Milan U20 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Milan U20 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Monza U20 37%, draw 26%, Milan U20 37%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Monza U20 v Milan U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Monza U20 win37%

Draw26%

Milan U20 win37%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueCentro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Monza U20

Milan U20

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Milan U20	8	−2	10
19	Monza U20	8	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · milan u20 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Milan U20 a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Monza U20 v Milan U20~~1.35 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 10~~19 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Monza U20 win	37%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Milan U20 win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Monza U20 or draw	63%	–	–
Monza U20 clean sheet	26%	–	–
Milan U20 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.1 8.9 6.2 2.8 1 8.9 12.4 8.2 3.7 2 6.1 8.2 5.5 2.5 3 2.8 3.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Monza U20 down, Milan U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,784 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.7% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Monza U20 at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Milan U20 away: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Monza U20, 1.35 for Milan U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MON 1–1 MIL · MIL 2–2 MON · MIL 1–1 MON · MON 0–2 MIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 6 Sept

MONZA U20

WDLDLD2–1 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

MILAN U20

WLLLWL2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	7	+10	15
2	Parma U20	7	+9	15
3	Bologna U20	8	+2	15
4	Empoli U20	8	+2	15
5	Roma U20	8	+3	13
6	Genoa U20	8	+3	12
7	Lazio U20	8	+2	12
8	Fiorentina U20	8	+2	10
9	Lecce U20	8	+1	10
10	Cesena U20	8	0	10
11	Milan U20	8	−2	10
12	Como U20	7	+1	9
13	Torino U20	8	−1	9
14	Sassuolo U20	8	−2	9
15	Juventus U20	8	−3	9
16	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
17	Hellas Verona U20	7	−2	7
18	Atalanta U20	8	−5	7
19	Monza U20	8	−3	6
20	Albinoleffe U20	7	−11	4