Lazio U20 v Internazionale U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Lazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20 INTERNAZIONALE U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Internazionale U20 win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.846

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Internazionale U20 win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Internazionale U20 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 34–25–41
1′Internazionale U20 score on 1′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–18–66
1′KICK-OFF Lazio U20 v Internazionale U20
1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Lazio U20 0–1 Internazionale U20
1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 66% now
7′We said Internazionale U20 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 15–19–67
8′2′: E. Rocca on the scoresheet for Internazionale U20, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–19–67
22′Internazionale U20 find the net on 21′. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–87
22′A goal for Lazio U20 on 22′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–20–68
22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Lazio U20 0–2 Internazionale U20
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 87% now
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Lazio U20 1–2 Internazionale U20
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 11–20–69
36′Lazio U20 score on 35′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 31–34–36
36′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 31–34–36
36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Lazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 36% now
45′HALF-TIME Lazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Internazionale U20 win 33%)
46′SECOND HALF Lazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
58′We said Internazionale U20 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 25–46–29
67′We said Internazionale U20 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 21–54–24
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
74′We said Internazionale U20 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 17–64–19
80′We said Internazionale U20 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 12–74–14
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Internazionale U20 win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
84′We said Internazionale U20 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
FTFULL TIME Lazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20
FTLazio U20 2–2 Internazionale U20 · Internazionale U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Internazionale U20 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lazio U20 34%, draw 25%, Internazionale U20 41%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Lazio U20 v Internazionale U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lazio U20 win34%

Draw25%

Internazionale U20 win41%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lazio U20

Internazionale U20

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
7	Lazio U20	6	+2	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · internazionale u20 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Internazionale U20 a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lazio U20 v Internazionale U20~~1.38 – 1.55

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 14~~7 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lazio U20 win	34%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Internazionale U20 win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Lazio U20 or draw	59%	–	–
Lazio U20 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Internazionale U20 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 5.7 8.1 6.4 3.3 1 7.2 11.6 8.7 4.5 2 5.1 7.8 6.0 3.1 3 2.4 3.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lazio U20 down, Internazionale U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,768 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lazio U20 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Internazionale U20 away: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Lazio U20, 1.55 for Internazionale U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~INT 3–2 LAZ · LAZ 1–0 INT · INT 0–1 LAZ · LAZ 3–2 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 22 Aug

LAZIO U20

WWLWDL2–1 · 6–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–4

INTERNAZIONALE U20

WDWWWD1–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 6–1 · 3–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Parma U20	7	+9	15
2	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
3	Roma U20	6	+4	12
4	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
5	Bologna U20	7	0	12
6	Genoa U20	6	+3	10
7	Lazio U20	6	+2	10
8	Cesena U20	6	+1	9
9	Cagliari U20	6	−4	8
10	Lecce U20	6	+1	7
11	Hellas Verona U20	6	−1	7
12	Sassuolo U20	6	−2	7
13	Milan U20	6	−2	7
14	Como U20	6	0	6
15	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
16	Torino U20	6	−2	5
17	Monza U20	6	−2	5
18	Fiorentina U20	6	−2	4
19	Albinoleffe U20	6	−9	4
20	Juventus U20	6	−5	3