Juventus U20 v Genoa U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Juventus U20 1–3 Genoa U20 JUVENTUS U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Juventus U20 win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.759

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Juventus U20 win46%

Draw25%

Genoa U20 win30%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Line-ups

Juventus U20

Genoa U20

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Juventus U20

Genoa U20

22Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
20	Juventus U20	5	−3	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Juventus U20

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Nava

9 I. Lopez

11 A. Sosna

15 E. Vallana

16 B. Borasio

28 M. Tiozzo

20 E. Keutgen

25 A. Camara

34 L. Bamballi

43 L. Reynaud

59 A. Beydts

Coach · –

Substitutes

37 · R. Huli

– · D. Rigo

4 · W. Gielen

7 · L. Bracco

8 · I. Amara Sylla

– · T. Corigliano

17 · F. Bellino

18 · D. Okolo

22 · G. Repciuc

27 · S. Precupanu

33 · M. De Brul

Genoa U20

Formation not confirmed

33 P. Baccelli

3 K. Gecaj

9 F. Bellone

14 L. Klisys

18 G. Lauricella

75 G. Lafont

26 C. Taieb

27 M. Vaz

50 M. Doucoure

74 N. Tondi

21 J. Robinho

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · L. Costoli

99 · R. Mihelsons

4 · L. Parodi

10 · M. Mendolia

11 · E. Spicuglia

– · V. Damiano

5 · Fred

– · M. Gibertini

31 · T. Fortunate

41 · D. Judelson

90 · A. Fabbri

Our number · juventus u20 winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Juventus U20 a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Juventus U20 win	46%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Genoa U20 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Juventus U20 or draw	70%	–	–
Juventus U20 clean sheet	28%	–	–
Genoa U20 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.6 6.6 4.4 1 8.5 11.4 7.2 3.1 2 7.2 9.2 5.9 2.6 3 3.9 5.1 3.3 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Juventus U20 down, Genoa U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,762 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Juventus U20 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Genoa U20 away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Juventus U20, 1.29 for Genoa U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~JUV 3–0 GEN · GEN 3–1 JUV · JUV 1–0 GEN · GEN 3–0 JUV

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

JUVENTUS U20

WDDLLD3–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1

GENOA U20

LLWDLW1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 1–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
2	Roma U20	6	+4	12
3	Bologna U20	6	+3	12
4	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
5	Parma U20	5	+6	11
6	Lazio U20	6	+2	10
7	Cesena U20	6	+1	9
8	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
9	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
10	Milan U20	6	−2	7
11	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
12	Como U20	6	0	6
13	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
14	Torino U20	6	−2	5
15	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
16	Monza U20	5	−2	4
17	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
18	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
19	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
20	Juventus U20	5	−3	3