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Internazionale U20 v Como U20

Internazionale U20

2–2Full time

Como U20

Campionato Primavera - 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:11

Internazionale U20 2–2 Como U20 INTERNAZIONALE U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Internazionale U20 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.952

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Internazionale U20 win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Internazionale U20 was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–22–24
1′KICK-OFF Internazionale U20 v Como U20
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Internazionale U20 0–0 Como U20
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Internazionale U20 1–0 Como U20
12′4′ and it is 1–0: A. Vukaj on the scoresheet for Internazionale U20. 1–0 · 76–15–9
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Internazionale U20 win: 54% at kick-off, 76% now
22′We published Internazionale U20 at 54%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–8
33′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
FTFULL TIME Internazionale U20 2–2 Como U20
FTInternazionale U20 2–2 Como U20 · Internazionale U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

4′Internazionale U20 · A. VukajNormal Goal

Pre-match prediction

Internazionale U20 win54%

Draw22%

Como U20 win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Internazionale U20

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Farronato

15 C. Breda

5 P. La Torre

8 G. D'Agostino

9 C. Carrara

10 A. El Mahboubi

– A. Vukaj

18 M. Virtuani

13 L. Peletti

16 E. Rocca

– E. Evangelista

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · C. Galliera

19 · M. Maghlout

– · D. Putsen

17 · D. Kartelo

2 · N. Moranduzzo

20 · T. Matarrese

– · T. Lissi

32 · M. Franchi

6 · P. Mackiewicz

– · L. Puricelli

– · A. Nese

Como U20

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Damioli

– A. Soumah

– Joao Gabriel

5 A. Baralla

– M. Turella

7 C. Mazzara

11 L. Bonsignori

2 E. Broggian

4 C. De Paoli

9 J. Harpur

10 R. Cassano

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · D. Sgarbi

6 · F. Grilli

8 · F. Andrealli

– · R. Thiland Herard

13 · L. Bosze

– · A. Tigano

54 · M. Papaccioli

– · F. Ronchetti

14 · L. Epifani

66 · L. de Paula

– · D. Zamagni

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Internazionale U20

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Farronato

15 C. Breda

5 P. La Torre

8 G. D'Agostino

9 C. Carrara

10 A. El Mahboubi

– A. Vukaj

18 M. Virtuani

13 L. Peletti

16 E. Rocca

– E. Evangelista

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · C. Galliera

19 · M. Maghlout

– · D. Putsen

17 · D. Kartelo

2 · N. Moranduzzo

20 · T. Matarrese

– · T. Lissi

32 · M. Franchi

6 · P. Mackiewicz

– · L. Puricelli

– · A. Nese

Como U20

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Damioli

– A. Soumah

– Joao Gabriel

5 A. Baralla

– M. Turella

7 C. Mazzara

11 L. Bonsignori

2 E. Broggian

4 C. De Paoli

9 J. Harpur

10 R. Cassano

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · D. Sgarbi

6 · F. Grilli

8 · F. Andrealli

– · R. Thiland Herard

13 · L. Bosze

– · A. Tigano

54 · M. Papaccioli

– · F. Ronchetti

14 · L. Epifani

66 · L. de Paula

– · D. Zamagni

Our number · internazionale u20 winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Internazionale U20 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Internazionale U20 win	54%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Como U20 win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Internazionale U20 or draw	76%	–	–
Internazionale U20 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Como U20 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.4 5.0 3.2 1 7.9 10.0 6.1 2.5 2 7.8 9.5 5.9 2.5 3 5.1 6.2 3.8 4 2.5 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Internazionale U20 down, Como U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,757 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Internazionale U20 at home: 2.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Como U20 away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.96 goals for Internazionale U20, 1.24 for Como U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

INTERNAZIONALE U20

LWDWWW1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 6–1 · 3–2

COMO U20

LDWDL0–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	5	+10	13
2	Parma U20	5	+6	11
3	Roma U20	5	+4	11
4	Empoli U20	5	+3	11
5	Lazio U20	5	+5	10
6	Bologna U20	5	0	9
7	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
9	Milan U20	5	0	7
10	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
11	Cesena U20	5	0	6
12	Como U20	5	0	5
13	Torino U20	5	−1	5
14	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
15	Monza U20	5	−2	4
16	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
17	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
19	Juventus U20	5	−3	3
20	Atalanta U20	5	−6	3