Fiorentina U20 v Parma U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:33

Fiorentina U20 1–1 Parma U20 FIORENTINA U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Fiorentina U20 win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Fiorentina U20 win43%

Draw25%

Parma U20 win32%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:45

Line-ups

Fiorentina U20

Parma U20

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Fiorentina U20

Parma U20

22Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Parma U20	5	+6	11
19	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Fiorentina U20

Formation not confirmed

– G. Fei

– S. Cianciulli

– S. Beldenti

– S. Jallow

– D. Beldenti

– G. Forte

– F. Melani

– N. Turnone

– A. Perrotti

– A. Martini

– F. Croci

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · M. Magalotti

– · M. Boskovic

– · F. Egharevba

– · A. Angeloni

– · F. Mataran

– · A. Bianchini

– · B. Mazzeo

– · T. Campaniello

– · M. Pietropaolo

– · R. Corduneanu

– · T. Tosti

Parma U20

Formation not confirmed

– A. Mazzocchi

– K. Pajsar

– L. Varali

– G. Chimezie

– L. Venturi

– A. Burcar

– D. Diop

– D. Balduzzi

– T. De Martis

– A. Madiq

– I. Avramescu

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · G. Casentini

– · L. Marchesi

– · V. Tognaccini

– · A. Semedo

– · O. Mama

– · R. Hartley

– · F. Alinovi

– · L. Scarlato

– · M. Campatelli

– · P. Fiorasi

– · R. Scaglione

Our number · fiorentina u20 winPublished 11 Oct 11:44

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Fiorentina U20 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fiorentina U20 win	43%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Parma U20 win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Fiorentina U20 or draw	68%	–	–
Fiorentina U20 clean sheet	27%	–	–
Parma U20 clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 5.8 7.1 4.9 2.2 1 8.4 11.6 7.6 3.4 2 6.8 8.9 5.9 2.6 3 3.6 4.7 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fiorentina U20 down, Parma U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,762 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fiorentina U20 at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Parma U20 away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Fiorentina U20, 1.33 for Parma U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~FIO 2–1 PAR · PAR 2–1 FIO · FIO 2–1 PAR

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

FIORENTINA U20

WDLDLD2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 1–1

PARMA U20

LDWWWD1–2 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
2	Roma U20	6	+4	12
3	Bologna U20	6	+3	12
4	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
5	Parma U20	5	+6	11
6	Lazio U20	6	+2	10
7	Cesena U20	6	+1	9
8	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
9	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
10	Milan U20	6	−2	7
11	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
12	Como U20	6	0	6
13	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
14	Torino U20	6	−2	5
15	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
16	Monza U20	5	−2	4
17	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
18	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
19	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
20	Juventus U20	5	−3	3