Fiorentina U20 v Milan U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fiorentina U20 win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fiorentina U20 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fiorentina U20 v Milan U20
4. 7′Fiorentina U20 find the net on 7′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–16–10
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Fiorentina U20 1–0 Milan U20
6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 8′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–10
8. 10′Fiorentina U20 ahead on 10′ through F. Croci. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–16–10
9. 12′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
11. 45′HALF-TIME Fiorentina U20 1–0 Milan U20
12. 46′SECOND HALF Fiorentina U20 1–0 Milan U20
13. 59′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
14. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
15. 62′A goal for Fiorentina U20 on 62′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
16. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Fiorentina U20 2–0 Milan U20
17. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
18. 63′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
19. 68′Milan U20 score on 68′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 83–15–2
20. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Fiorentina U20 2–1 Milan U20
21. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, 83% now
22. 69′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 83–15–2
23. 72′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
24. 74′Fiorentina U20 find the net on 74′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
25. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Fiorentina U20 3–1 Milan U20
26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, 99% now
27. 75′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
28. 78′Fiorentina U20 are down to ten from 78′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–1 · 99–1–0
29. 78′🟥 RED CARD · 78' Fiorentina U20
30. 82′We said Fiorentina U20 at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Fiorentina U20 win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
32. 93′A goal for Milan U20 on 90′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 98–2–0
33. 93′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 98–2–0
34. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Fiorentina U20 3–2 Milan U20
35. 95′Fiorentina U20 score on 90′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
36. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Fiorentina U20 4–2 Milan U20
37. 96′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
38. FTFULL TIME Fiorentina U20 4–2 Milan U20
39. FTFiorentina U20 4–2 Milan U20 · Fiorentina U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.