Como U20 v Hellas Verona U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:51

Como U20 1–0 Hellas Verona U20 COMO U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Como U20 win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.480

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Como U20 win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Como U20 was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–31
1′KICK-OFF Como U20 v Hellas Verona U20
45′HALF-TIME Como U20 0–0 Hellas Verona U20
46′SECOND HALF Como U20 0–0 Hellas Verona U20
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Como U20 win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Como U20 win 34%)
53′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–43–25
55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–44–24
60′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
68′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–19
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Como U20 win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
75′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
80′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Como U20 win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
84′We said Como U20 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
87′Como U20 score on 87′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
87′We published Como U20 at 44%. Our model now makes it 94%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Como U20 1–0 Hellas Verona U20
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Como U20 win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Como U20 win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
88′We published Como U20 at 44%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
FTFULL TIME Como U20 1–0 Hellas Verona U20
FTComo U20 1–0 Hellas Verona U20 · Como U20 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Como U20 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Como U20 44%, draw 25%, Hellas Verona U20 31%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Como U20 v Hellas Verona U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Como U20 win44%

Draw25%

Hellas Verona U20 win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Como U20

Hellas Verona U20

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

Last match: 11 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Hellas Verona U20	6	−1	7
16	Como U20	6	0	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · como u20 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Como U20 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Como U20 v Hellas Verona U20~~1.56 – 1.28

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 23 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 6 v 7~~16 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Como U20 win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Hellas Verona U20 win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Como U20 or draw	69%	–	–
Como U20 clean sheet	28%	–	–
Hellas Verona U20 clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.3 7.4 4.8 2.1 1 9.0 11.8 7.4 3.2 2 7.1 8.9 5.7 2.4 3 3.7 4.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Como U20 down, Hellas Verona U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,773 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.1% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Como U20 at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Hellas Verona U20 away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Como U20, 1.28 for Hellas Verona U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 23 Aug

COMO U20

LDWDLD0–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

HELLAS VERONA U20

LWLWDL0–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	7	+10	15
2	Parma U20	7	+9	15
3	Roma U20	7	+3	12
4	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
5	Bologna U20	7	0	12
6	Lazio U20	7	+2	11
7	Genoa U20	6	+3	10
8	Lecce U20	7	+2	10
9	Milan U20	7	0	10
10	Cesena U20	7	0	9
11	Torino U20	7	−1	8
12	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
13	Fiorentina U20	7	0	7
14	Hellas Verona U20	6	−1	7
15	Sassuolo U20	6	−2	7
16	Como U20	6	0	6
17	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
18	Monza U20	6	−2	5
19	Albinoleffe U20	7	−11	4
20	Juventus U20	6	−5	3