Como U20 v Atalanta U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Como U20DrawAtalanta U20

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Como U20 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Como U20 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Como U20 44%, draw 25%, Atalanta U20 31%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Como U20 v Atalanta U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Como U20 win44%

Draw25%

Atalanta U20 win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Como U20

Atalanta U20

13Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

Last match: 23 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Como U20	7	+1	9
18	Atalanta U20	8	−5	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · como u20 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Como U20 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Como U20 v Atalanta U20~~1.54 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 7~~12 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Como U20 win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Atalanta U20 win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Como U20 or draw	69%	–	–
Como U20 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Atalanta U20 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.6 7.5 4.8 2.0 1 9.3 11.9 7.2 3.0 2 7.3 8.9 5.5 2.3 3 3.8 4.6 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Como U20 down, Atalanta U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,784 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.7% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Como U20 at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 3). Atalanta U20 away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Como U20, 1.24 for Atalanta U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 29 Aug

COMO U20

DWDLDW0–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–0

ATALANTA U20

WLLWLD2–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	7	+10	15
2	Parma U20	7	+9	15
3	Bologna U20	8	+2	15
4	Empoli U20	8	+2	15
5	Roma U20	8	+3	13
6	Genoa U20	8	+3	12
7	Lazio U20	8	+2	12
8	Fiorentina U20	8	+2	10
9	Lecce U20	8	+1	10
10	Cesena U20	8	0	10
11	Milan U20	8	−2	10
12	Como U20	7	+1	9
13	Torino U20	8	−1	9
14	Sassuolo U20	8	−2	9
15	Juventus U20	8	−3	9
16	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
17	Hellas Verona U20	7	−2	7
18	Atalanta U20	8	−5	7
19	Monza U20	8	−3	6
20	Albinoleffe U20	7	−11	4