Cesena U20 v Monza U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Cesena U20 2–2 Monza U20 CESENA U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cesena U20 win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.921

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cesena U20 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cesena U20 52%, draw 23%, Monza U20 25%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Cesena U20 v Monza U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Cesena U20 win52%

Draw23%

Monza U20 win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueCentro Sportivo Romagna Centro

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cesena U20

Monza U20

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

Last match: 18 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Cesena U20	7	0	9
19	Monza U20	7	−3	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cesena u20 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Cesena U20 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cesena U20 v Monza U20~~1.84 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 5~~11 v 19

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cesena U20 win	52%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Monza U20 win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Cesena U20 or draw	75%	–	–
Cesena U20 clean sheet	30%	–	–
Monza U20 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.0 5.6 3.5 1 8.5 10.7 6.4 2.6 2 7.9 9.6 5.8 2.4 3 4.9 5.9 3.6 4 2.3 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cesena U20 down, Monza U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,779 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cesena U20 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Monza U20 away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.84 goals for Cesena U20, 1.22 for Monza U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MON 1–3 CES · CES 0–0 MON · MON 1–2 CES · CES 2–2 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 30 Aug

CESENA U20

DDLDWL1–1 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

MONZA U20

LWDLDL0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	7	+10	15
2	Parma U20	7	+9	15
3	Empoli U20	7	+4	15
4	Roma U20	7	+3	12
5	Lazio U20	8	+2	12
6	Bologna U20	7	0	12
7	Genoa U20	7	+3	11
8	Lecce U20	7	+2	10
9	Milan U20	7	0	10
10	Como U20	7	+1	9
11	Cesena U20	7	0	9
12	Torino U20	8	−1	9
13	Sassuolo U20	8	−2	9
14	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
15	Fiorentina U20	7	0	7
16	Hellas Verona U20	7	−2	7
17	Atalanta U20	8	−5	7
18	Juventus U20	7	−4	6
19	Monza U20	7	−3	5
20	Albinoleffe U20	7	−11	4