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Bologna U20 v Lazio U20

Bologna U20

4–1Full time

Lazio U20

Campionato Primavera - 1 · SAT 10 OCT · Centro Sportivo Crespellano

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Bologna U20 4–1 Lazio U20 BOLOGNA U20 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bologna U20 win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.483

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bologna U20 win43%

Draw27%

Lazio U20 win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Centro Sportivo Crespellano

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Bologna U20

Formation not confirmed

– G. Giacomone

– J. Igbinigun

– G. Osti

– A. Jaber

– S. Negri

24 K. Badori

– J. Saputo

– E. Trifelli

– C. Piro

– L. Lo Monaco

25 A. Toroc

Coach · –

Substitutes

82 · M. Franceschelli

– · C. Briguglio

– · L. Tupec

– · M. Kujrakovic

71 · P. Rondolini

– · G. M. Pantaleoni

14 · J. Zanella

– · G. F. Baldini

30 · F. Luongo

10 · L. Lai

– · F. Castaldo

Lazio U20

Formation not confirmed

50 L. D'Alessio

44 B. Kovac

20 F. Bordon

13 L. Pernaselci

30 R. Avram

6 M. Santagostino Baldi

7 V. Battisti

8 F. Milillo

11 G. Canali

39 E. Eone

10 J. Landi

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · L. Quadrelli

77 · F. Ferrante

90 · S. Touray

– · E. Riggi

16 · F. Gatto

23 · M. Stornelli

33 · E. Cangemi

85 · C. Bagordo

17 · V. Zangari

21 · T. Montano

95 · M. Mecozzi

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Bologna U20

Formation not confirmed

– G. Giacomone

– J. Igbinigun

– G. Osti

– A. Jaber

– S. Negri

24 K. Badori

– J. Saputo

– E. Trifelli

– C. Piro

– L. Lo Monaco

25 A. Toroc

Coach · –

Substitutes

82 · M. Franceschelli

– · C. Briguglio

– · L. Tupec

– · M. Kujrakovic

71 · P. Rondolini

– · G. M. Pantaleoni

14 · J. Zanella

– · G. F. Baldini

30 · F. Luongo

10 · L. Lai

– · F. Castaldo

Lazio U20

Formation not confirmed

50 L. D'Alessio

44 B. Kovac

20 F. Bordon

13 L. Pernaselci

30 R. Avram

6 M. Santagostino Baldi

7 V. Battisti

8 F. Milillo

11 G. Canali

39 E. Eone

10 J. Landi

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · L. Quadrelli

77 · F. Ferrante

90 · S. Touray

– · E. Riggi

16 · F. Gatto

23 · M. Stornelli

33 · E. Cangemi

85 · C. Bagordo

17 · V. Zangari

21 · T. Montano

95 · M. Mecozzi

Our number · bologna u20 winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Bologna U20 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bologna U20 win	43%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Lazio U20 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Bologna U20 or draw	70%	–	–
Bologna U20 clean sheet	32%	–	–
Lazio U20 clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 8.1 8.6 5.0 1 10.8 12.6 7.1 2.7 2 7.8 8.8 5.0 3 3.7 4.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bologna U20 down, Lazio U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,757 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bologna U20 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Lazio U20 away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Bologna U20, 1.14 for Lazio U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BOL 1–2 LAZ · LAZ 1–0 BOL · BOL 0–0 LAZ · LAZ 2–0 BOL

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

BOLOGNA U20

LWWLLW0–2 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 3–5 · 2–1

LAZIO U20

LWWLWD1–2 · 2–1 · 6–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	5	+10	13
2	Parma U20	5	+6	11
3	Roma U20	5	+4	11
4	Empoli U20	5	+3	11
5	Lazio U20	5	+5	10
6	Bologna U20	5	0	9
7	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
9	Milan U20	5	0	7
10	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
11	Cesena U20	5	0	6
12	Como U20	5	0	5
13	Torino U20	5	−1	5
14	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
15	Monza U20	5	−2	4
16	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
17	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
19	Juventus U20	5	−3	3
20	Atalanta U20	5	−6	3