Bologna U20 v Empoli U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Bologna U20 3–1 Empoli U20 BOLOGNA U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bologna U20 win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.410

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bologna U20 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bologna U20 48%, draw 25%, Empoli U20 27%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Bologna U20 v Empoli U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bologna U20 win48%

Draw25%

Empoli U20 win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueCentro Sportivo Crespellano

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bologna U20

Empoli U20

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

Last match: 18 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Empoli U20	7	+4	15
6	Bologna U20	7	0	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bologna u20 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Bologna U20 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bologna U20 v Empoli U20~~1.63 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bologna U20 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bologna U20 win	48%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Empoli U20 win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Bologna U20 or draw	73%	–	–
Bologna U20 clean sheet	31%	–	–
Empoli U20 clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.5 7.0 4.2 1 9.8 11.7 6.7 2.6 2 8.1 9.3 5.4 2.1 3 4.4 5.1 3.0 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bologna U20 down, Empoli U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,779 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bologna U20 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Empoli U20 away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Bologna U20, 1.17 for Empoli U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~BOL 1–0 EMP · BOL 2–0 EMP · EMP 2–1 BOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 29 Aug

BOLOGNA U20

WLLWWL3–1 · 0–3 · 3–5 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 2–5

EMPOLI U20

DDWWDW2–2 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	7	+10	15
2	Parma U20	7	+9	15
3	Empoli U20	7	+4	15
4	Roma U20	7	+3	12
5	Lazio U20	8	+2	12
6	Bologna U20	7	0	12
7	Genoa U20	7	+3	11
8	Lecce U20	7	+2	10
9	Milan U20	7	0	10
10	Como U20	7	+1	9
11	Cesena U20	7	0	9
12	Torino U20	8	−1	9
13	Sassuolo U20	8	−2	9
14	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
15	Fiorentina U20	7	0	7
16	Hellas Verona U20	7	−2	7
17	Atalanta U20	8	−5	7
18	Juventus U20	7	−4	6
19	Monza U20	7	−3	5
20	Albinoleffe U20	7	−11	4