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Atalanta U20 v Milan U20

Atalanta U20

2–0Full time

Milan U20

Campionato Primavera - 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Atalanta U20 2–0 Milan U20 ATALANTA U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Atalanta U20 win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.552

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Atalanta U20 win40%

Draw26%

Milan U20 win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Atalanta U20

Formation not confirmed

44 M. Sonzogni

2 G. Percassi

6 R. Cojocariu

79 M. Pedretti

– G. Ramaj

21 M. Colombo

25 D. Perillo

31 M. Leandri

40 A. Ciapini

41 G. Ruiz

– E. Bosisio

Coach · –

Substitutes

22 · M. D. Villa

46 · A. Frascolla

8 · F. Gasparello

13 · K. Mbakhane

15 · A. Tassani

– · A. Martano

19 · M. Aliprandi

– · I. Camara

33 · M. Fugazzola

– · S. Berrima

36 · F. Olivieri

Milan U20

Formation not confirmed

50 A. Catalano

3 E. Tartaglia

34 R. Grassini

4 V. Ibrahimovic

9 F. Domnitei

10 M. Anastasio

70 D. Petrone

36 T. Martini

– Y. Messaoudi

– M. Mercogliano

77 A. Cullotta

Coach · –

Substitutes

99 · A. Bianchi

95 · C. Vechiu

7 · S. La Mantia

– · M. Geroli

48 · E. Zanaga

16 · C. Dotta

56 · K. Mazzeo

76 · Viana Seedorf

27 · M. Zaramella

– · L. Colombo

– · L. Calvani

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Atalanta U20

Formation not confirmed

44 M. Sonzogni

2 G. Percassi

6 R. Cojocariu

79 M. Pedretti

– G. Ramaj

21 M. Colombo

25 D. Perillo

31 M. Leandri

40 A. Ciapini

41 G. Ruiz

– E. Bosisio

Coach · –

Substitutes

22 · M. D. Villa

46 · A. Frascolla

8 · F. Gasparello

13 · K. Mbakhane

15 · A. Tassani

– · A. Martano

19 · M. Aliprandi

– · I. Camara

33 · M. Fugazzola

– · S. Berrima

36 · F. Olivieri

Milan U20

Formation not confirmed

50 A. Catalano

3 E. Tartaglia

34 R. Grassini

4 V. Ibrahimovic

9 F. Domnitei

10 M. Anastasio

70 D. Petrone

36 T. Martini

– Y. Messaoudi

– M. Mercogliano

77 A. Cullotta

Coach · –

Substitutes

99 · A. Bianchi

95 · C. Vechiu

7 · S. La Mantia

– · M. Geroli

48 · E. Zanaga

16 · C. Dotta

56 · K. Mazzeo

76 · Viana Seedorf

27 · M. Zaramella

– · L. Colombo

– · L. Calvani

Our number · atalanta u20 winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Atalanta U20 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atalanta U20 win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Milan U20 win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Atalanta U20 or draw	66%	–	–
Atalanta U20 clean sheet	28%	–	–
Milan U20 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.0 8.5 5.6 2.4 1 9.2 12.3 7.8 3.4 2 6.6 8.5 5.5 2.4 3 3.1 4.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atalanta U20 down, Milan U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,757 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atalanta U20 at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Milan U20 away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Atalanta U20, 1.30 for Milan U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MIL 0–0 ATA · ATA 0–0 MIL · MIL 2–1 ATA · ATA 1–1 MIL

Form · last six in Campionato Primavera - 1

ATALANTA U20

LLLWLL0–3 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–3

MILAN U20

DWDWLL1–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Internazionale U20	5	+10	13
2	Parma U20	5	+6	11
3	Roma U20	5	+4	11
4	Empoli U20	5	+3	11
5	Lazio U20	5	+5	10
6	Bologna U20	5	0	9
7	Genoa U20	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona U20	5	+1	7
9	Milan U20	5	0	7
10	Cagliari U20	5	−4	7
11	Cesena U20	5	0	6
12	Como U20	5	0	5
13	Torino U20	5	−1	5
14	Lecce U20	5	−1	4
15	Monza U20	5	−2	4
16	Sassuolo U20	5	−4	4
17	Albinoleffe U20	5	−7	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	−2	3
19	Juventus U20	5	−3	3
20	Atalanta U20	5	−6	3