Atalanta U20 v Lazio U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atalanta U20 win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Atalanta U20 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–27–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atalanta U20 v Lazio U20
4. 2′Lazio U20 score on 2′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–22–58
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Atalanta U20 0–1 Lazio U20
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 20% now
7. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Lazio U20 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Atalanta U20 win 42%)
8. 3′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–22–58
9. 5′1′: F. Gatto on the scoresheet for Lazio U20, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–22–58
10. 7′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–58
11. 30′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 14–24–62
13. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
14. 35′Atalanta U20 find the net on 34′. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–35–28
15. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Atalanta U20 1–1 Lazio U20
16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 37% now
17. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Lazio U20 win 63%)
18. 45′HALF-TIME Atalanta U20 1–1 Lazio U20
19. 46′SECOND HALF Atalanta U20 1–1 Lazio U20
20. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
21. 53′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–45–24
22. 57′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–23
23. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
24. 74′A goal for Lazio U20 on 74′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–81
25. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Atalanta U20 1–2 Lazio U20
26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Atalanta U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
27. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Lazio U20 win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 66%)
28. 75′We said Atalanta U20 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–2 · 2–16–82
29. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–16–82
30. 93′Atalanta U20 score on 90′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 2–96–2
31. 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 2–96–2
32. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Atalanta U20 2–2 Lazio U20
33. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Lazio U20 win 97%)
34. FTFULL TIME Atalanta U20 2–2 Lazio U20
35. FTAtalanta U20 2–2 Lazio U20 · Atalanta U20 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.