Albinoleffe U20 v Fiorentina U20 prediction · Campionato Primavera

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Albinoleffe U20 0–2 Fiorentina U20 FIORENTINA U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fiorentina U20 win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.368

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fiorentina U20 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Albinoleffe U20 27%, draw 23%, Fiorentina U20 51%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Albinoleffe U20 v Fiorentina U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Albinoleffe U20 win27%

Draw23%

Fiorentina U20 win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Albinoleffe U20

Fiorentina U20

5Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

Last match: 11 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
18	Fiorentina U20	6	−2	4
19	Albinoleffe U20	6	−9	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fiorentina u20 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:39 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Fiorentina U20 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Albinoleffe U20 v Fiorentina U20~~1.35 – 1.92

~~Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 4~~19 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Fiorentina U20 win

Published at 49%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Albinoleffe U20 win	27%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Fiorentina U20 win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Albinoleffe U20 or draw	49%	–	–
Albinoleffe U20 clean sheet	15%	–	–
Fiorentina U20 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.2 7.1 7.0 4.5 2.2 1 5.0 10.0 9.3 6.0 2.9 2 3.5 6.6 6.2 4.0 3 3.0 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Albinoleffe U20 down, Fiorentina U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,768 Campionato Primavera - 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Campionato Primavera - 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Albinoleffe U20 at home: 0.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Fiorentina U20 away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Albinoleffe U20, 1.92 for Fiorentina U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campionato Primavera - 1 this season · since 22 Aug

ALBINOLEFFE U20

LLLWDL0–2 · 2–6 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–4

FIORENTINA U20

DLDLDD1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Parma U20	7	+9	15
2	Internazionale U20	6	+10	14
3	Roma U20	6	+4	12
4	Empoli U20	6	+3	12
5	Bologna U20	7	0	12
6	Genoa U20	6	+3	10
7	Lazio U20	6	+2	10
8	Milan U20	7	0	10
9	Cesena U20	6	+1	9
10	Cagliari U20	7	−6	8
11	Lecce U20	6	+1	7
12	Hellas Verona U20	6	−1	7
13	Sassuolo U20	6	−2	7
14	Como U20	6	0	6
15	Atalanta U20	6	−4	6
16	Torino U20	6	−2	5
17	Monza U20	6	−2	5
18	Fiorentina U20	6	−2	4
19	Albinoleffe U20	6	−9	4
20	Juventus U20	6	−5	3