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Model 1.2

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Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Ironi Modi'in

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
16:00Upcoming
Ironi Modi'in

State Cup · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaDrawIroni Modi'in
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 43%, draw 26%, Ironi Modi'in 31%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Ironi Modi'inBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win43%
Draw26%
Ironi Modi'in win31%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 16:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Ironi Modi'in

3Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maccabi kabilio jaffa winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Ironi Modi'in1.61 – 1.35

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 20 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:05
Our probability · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win

Published at 39%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win43%––
Draw26%––
Ironi Modi'in win31%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or draw69%––
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa clean sheet27%––
Ironi Modi'in clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 6.2 6.4 4.8 2.2 1 7.8 11.8 7.4 3.4 2 6.7 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 3.6 4.8 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa down, Ironi Modi'in across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsMAC 0–2 IRO · IRO 4–1 MAC · MAC 1–0 IRO · IRO 2–2 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · State Cup this season

MACCABI KABILIO JAFFA

No matches in our record yet.

IRONI MODI'IN

No matches in our record yet.