

Hapoel Sderot v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Sderot
Maccabi Ahi NazarethState Cup · MON 26 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Sderot 34%, draw 25%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 41%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Hapoel Sderot win34%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win41%Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 15:30
RoundRound of 64
Match timeline
All events
Hapoel SderotMIN
Maccabi Ahi NazarethEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hapoel Sderot
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef
Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Maccabi Ahi Nazareth a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 46%, 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Sderot win | 34% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win | 41% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Hapoel Sderot or draw | 59% | – | – |
| Hapoel Sderot clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · State Cup this season · since 12 Oct
HAPOEL SDEROT
MACCABI AHI NAZARETH
No matches in our record yet.