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Model 1.2

Home › Football › State Cup › Hapoel Ra'anana v Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

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Hapoel Ra'anana v Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Ra'anana
16:00Upcoming
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

State Cup · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel Ra'ananaDrawHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Ra'anana 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Ra'anana are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Ra'anana 65%, draw 22%, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 14%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Ra'anana v Hapoel Umm al-FahmBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Ra'anana win65%
Draw22%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win14%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 16:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Ra'anana

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

3Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel ra'anana winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Hapoel Ra'anana a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hapoel Ra'anana v Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1.92 – 0.75

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 20 OCT 00:0125 OCT 04:30
Our probability · Hapoel Ra'anana win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Ra'anana win65%––
Draw22%––
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win14%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Hapoel Ra'anana or draw86%––
Hapoel Ra'anana clean sheet47%––
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%
0123450 7.2 4.9 1 12.9 10.3 3.8 2 12.7 9.6 3.6 3 8.1 6.1 2.3 4 3.9 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ra'anana down, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.54 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsUMM 0–3 ANA · UMM 2–3 ANA · ANA 2–1 UMM · ANA 0–0 UMM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · State Cup this season · since 13 Oct

HAPOEL RA'ANANA

No matches in our record yet.

HAPOEL UMM AL-FAHM

W3–2