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Model 1.2

Home › Football › State Cup › Hapoel Acre v Tira

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Hapoel Acre v Tira

Hapoel Acre
15:00Upcoming
Tira

State Cup · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel AcreDrawTira
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Tira 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Tira just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Acre 34%, draw 29%, Tira 37%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Acre v TiraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Acre win34%
Draw29%
Tira win37%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Acre

Tira

3Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Alef

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tira winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make Tira a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hapoel Acre v Tira1.12 – 1.17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 20 OCT 00:0125 OCT 05:47
Our probability · Tira win

Published at 36%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Acre win34%––
Draw29%––
Tira win37%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Hapoel Acre or draw63%––
Hapoel Acre clean sheet31%––
Tira clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%
0123450 10.6 11.5 7.0 2.7 1 10.9 13.7 7.8 3.0 2 6.3 7.4 4.3 3 2.4 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Acre down, Tira across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · State Cup this season · since 12 Oct

HAPOEL ACRE

No matches in our record yet.

TIRA

W3–2